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Prediction, pick for Rafael Fiziev vs. Manuel Torres at U...
Ryan Wohl · 2026-06-27 · via DraftKings Network

Ryan Wohl breaks down his best bet for Rafael Fiziev vs. Manuel Torres, which is the Main Event of the UFC’s event in Baku, Azerbaijan.

Two top 15 Lightweight contenders, No. 11 Rafael Fiziev and No. 15 Manuel Torres, face off in the Main Event of this week’s UFC Fight Night. Fiziev enters this bout with a 13-5 record with nine finishes, while Torres is 17-3 with 16 wins by knockout or submission. The Main Card for this event has a special start time of 12:00 p.m. ET since it is taking place in Baku, Azerbaijan.

Check out my best bet for the Main Event of UFC Baku between Rafael Fiziev vs. Manuel Torres.

Manuel Torres Moneyline (-112)

Although Fiziev was born in Kazakhstan, his father is from Azerbaijan, which is the country he represents in the UFC. From October 2019 to July 2022, Fiziev went on a six-fight winning streak in the UFC with wins over Renato Moicano, King Green, and Rafael Dos Anjos. But since then, he has been 1-4 in his previous five contests and has struggled against top-tier opponents at 155 pounds. He lost his previous fight to Mauricio Ruffy at UFC 325, with his last win coming against Ignacio Bahamondes a year ago.

Torres, 31, has flown under the radar in a stacked Lightweight division but is one of the most dangerous finishers at 155 pounds. He is 5-1 in the UFC with five first-round finishes. In his career, 16 of Torres’ 17 wins have come by a finish in the first round. His previous three victories have come against Grant Dawson, Drew Dober, and Chris Duncan. Although his last two wins have come by knockout, he is a well-rounded fighter with seven career submissions.

On DraftKings Sportsbook, Torres is a -112 favorite with Fiziev being -108 to win this fight. This fight has an over/under of 1.5 rounds, with the over being -154 and the under being +120. Torres is taller (5’10” vs. 5’8″) and has a greater standing reach (73″ vs. 71″), which should be a difference-maker in this contest. If Torres can keep Fiziev at range while unleashing a high volume of punches, success should be in store for the rising contender.

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