Zach Thompson details his best player prop bets for Saturday’s NBA playoff matchup between the Nuggets and the Timberwolves.
The Minnesota Timberwolves have won back-to-back games against the Denver Nuggets to take a 2-1 lead in the first round. The Timberwolves host Game 4 at the Target Center on Saturday night in the primetime matchup on ABC. The Nuggets will be looking to climb back into the series with a win before the series shifts back to Denver with Game 5 on Monday night. Let’s get ready for Game 4 with a few of the top player prop bets to consider from this Nuggets-Timberwolves matchup.
The Nuggets are slim 1.5-point road favorites on DraftKings Sportsbook, with the game total at O/U 229.5 points. In the futures market, the Nuggets are still more likely to win the NBA Finals than the Timberwolves, but both teams are now -110 to win the series.
The only player on the injury report for either team is Aaron Gordon (hamstring), who is questionable after missing Game 3. Anthony Edwards had been listed as questionable before each of the first three games but is not on the injury report Saturday.
Murray started the series hot with two strong showings in Denver, posting 30 points and seven assists for 37 points plus assists in both Game 1 and Game 2. He shot the ball much better in Game 2, making six three pointers to help the Nuggets stay in the game despite a monster effort from Anthony Edwards.
Murray cooled off in Game 3, though, with only 16 points and four assists to come in well under this prop in 35 minutes as the offense struggled with Nikola Jokic not at his best. Murray went just 5-of-17 from the field and missed all five of his three-point shots.
He’ll need to get back on track to help his team tie the series up. He has a history of stepping up in big games and has a great chance to get back on the tear he was on before Thursday’s outlier. Murray had scored 30-plus points in six of his last 12 contests. He has been producing solid assists in every game except that one rough game as well, making this a nice way to get solid odds at a reachable combo prop.
On the other side at point guard, DiVincenzo has come alive for the T-wolves, producing 29 PRA (points, rebounds and assists) in Game 2 and 26 PRA in Game 3. He was quieter in Game 1 with 18 PRA, but his role has expanded and he has been very involved in the Wolves’ two wins.
With Edwards still ailing a little and potentially not 100%, DiVincenzo is one of the players most likely to pick up some of the slack and get extra production in all three of these categories.
During the regular season, DiVincenzo averaged 20.1 PRA while playing all 82 regular-season contests. He has been a workhorse for Minnesota and should be able to get to at least 20+ PRA in Game 4. Getting this prop at plus money is a great value to consider Saturday, especially if he keeps lighting it up from long range (11 three-pointers made in three games this series).
While Aaron Gordon’s uncertainty clouds the Nuggets’ rotation, one prop that makes sense to target either way is the over on Brown’s rebounds at just 3.5.
He has at least four boards in six of his last seven games, dating back to the regular season, and he had four rebounds in Game 3 without Gordon while playing 23 minutes. He only had three rebounds in 16 minutes in Game 2 with Gordon playing, but with Gordon in the mix in Game 1, he still had seven rebounds in 21 minutes. He has proven he can go over this prop in either situation, but the extra minutes without Gordon would only boost his chances even higher.
The Nuggets will need some help from some of their gritty veterans, like Brown, if they are going to win Game 4 and tie the series back up.
If you’re building an SGP (Same Game Parlay) for Game 4, adding in the over on McDaniels points boosts the odds up to a solid +1200 for the four Nuggets-Timberwolves bets in this post.
McDaniels went off for 20 points and 10 rebounds (his first double-double of the season) in Game 3, and he had at least 16 points in nine of his last 10 games, coming up just short with 14 points in Game 2. The Timberwolves will need him to continue to provide complementary scoring to keep their run going.
此内容由惯性聚合(RSS阅读器)自动聚合整理，仅供阅读参考。 原文来自 — 版权归原作者所有。