The first round of the 2026 NFL Draft gets underway on Thursday night, and DraftKings Sportsbook has a lengthy menu of props to wager on. Here are the bets that jump out to me on draft day.

It’s important to never bring your opinion into betting on a draft in any sport, but to bet off information from those that can be trusted most. However, it’s hard not to inject opinion when it appears so obvious from the tape that Ty Simpson does not look like a first round pick. That said, all it takes is one team falling in love and using a late first rounder to secure the fifth-year option. But I’m not convinced a team will do that. If we follow the tea leaves here, Simpson is floating around -250 to land with the Arizona Cardinals, but also -380 to be a 1st round pick. Well, unless the Cardinals are planning on using the 3rd overall pick on Simpson, they’d need to trade back into the first round to get him. While that could be the case, Simpson could easily be available for Arizona at No. 34 when we get underway on Friday. I think this price has gotten completely out of hand, and will take +250 for no quarterbacks to hear their name called on Thursday night after Fernando Mendoza.

NFL Draft Bet: Total QB Drafted in 1st Round UNDER 1.5 (+250)

The No. 2 pick has been somewhat of a mystery, and we’ve seen that reflected in the odds. Arvell Reese and David Bailey have pinged back-and-forth as the favorite, with Bailey shifting back to the favorite following Daniel Jeremiah mocking him there in his final mock draft. While Bailey is gaining momentum in mock drafts, I’m not buying it. Nobody seems to have anything concrete on the pick, and Bailey might’ve shown his hand in a recent interview when he named the GM of the Cardinals when trying to speak on the Jets’ front office. Reese is the higher upside prospect and was bet out to a large favorite initially for a reason.

NFL Draft Bet: No. 2 Overall Pick – Arvell Reese (+140)

Carnell Tate was once a huge favorite to be the first WR off the board, which has slowly disappeared. Jordyn Tyson has picked up significant momentum to be the first pass-catcher off the board, potentially going as high as No. 5 to the Giants. I’ll buy the hype and take plus-money while I still can. Tyson should be selected anywhere between No. 5 and No. 10 overall.

NFL Draft Bet: 1st WR Selected Jordyn Tyson (+110)

Downs is getting significant interest from the Giants, along with other teams picking in the back end of the top-10 with needs in the secondary. Downs plays safety, which is a less valuable position, but is an elite and NFL-ready prospect. Like Tyson, his range seems like the 5-10 range, making under 9.5 worth a play. Maybe he slips to the Giants at No. 10 and it’s a loser, but I see way more landing spots in the 5-9 range. We could also wind up with someone trading ahead of No. 10 to jump the Giants to land Downs if we get there.

NFL Draft Bet: Caleb Downs Draft Position UNDER 9.5 (-115)

I’m taking a couple of stabs on some long shots in the draft position props, starting with Jeremiyah Love. If the number moves to 4.5 where the over is priced more like +130 to +150, I prefer that wager, but I’ll take the big plus price on over 5.5 at well. Love might be the best player in the draft, but he plays running back, which is seeing draft stock drop by the year. While it is a weak draft class, Love is now being looked at to be drafted as high as any RB since Saquon Barkley, which seems extreme. Not to mention, can any of these teams afford to burn an elite asset (top-five pick) on a running back? The Cardinals at No. 3 and Titans at No. 4 have needs all over the field. Drafting a RB that high seems borderline reckless with the rosters those teams have. That leaves either the Giants taking Love at No. 5, which also seems tough to believe — the Giants are heavily linked to Tyson and Downs, and drafted Cam Skattebo last season. Unless someone trades up, I think there’s a decent enough chance we see Love slide out of the top-5 to bet the +320.

NFL Draft Bet: Jeremiyah Love Draft Position OVER 5.5 (+320)

I was surprised to see Bain’s draft position prop so heavily juiced to the over. He seems like an elite pass rusher worthy of a high pick, but again, that’s just my opinion. I figured this one would not be a bet a wound up placing, but now we have some noteworthy reporters that have Bain going off the board at No. 8. Jay Glazer is among a handful of recent reports that seem to indicate the Saints would take Bain at No. 8 if he’s there. If this prop was -110 each way I’d pass, but getting +270 is worth a stab.

NFL Draft Bet: Rueben Bain Jr. Draft Position UNDER 8.5 (+270)

The Bengals weakness week after week last season was getting gashed in the secondary. No matter how many points they scored, they found a way to give up more. While other positions are definitely in play here, it’s hard to justify not selecting a player in the secondary here. Safety is also +300, but with more value in the corner position, I’ll back CB +300. Cincy traded its top-10 pick for Dexter Lawrence to help the defensive line, which makes it unlikely the Bengals would draft any defensive player not in the secondary. Due to the trade, the Bengals do not have a first-round pick, so we’ll need to wait to cash this one.

NFL Draft Bet: Bengals Position of 1st Drafted Player Cornerback (+300)

The 49ers pick at the end of the night on Thursday at No. 27 overall. While you’ll find a bunch of different names landing here, it all really just depends on which offensive lineman are already off the board. Almost all mock drafts have San Francisco taking an offensive lineman here, but this late in the round the names vary based on who that person has mocked going earlier. What seems near certain is that the Niners want to sure up the OL with this pick, which you can still back at plus money.

NFL Draft Bet: 49ers Position of 1st Drafted Player Offensive Lineman (+110)