Home runs. Long balls. Bleacher reachers. Whatever you want to call them, people love watching and betting on home run props during baseball games. So much so, we’ve got a whole article dedicated to just that.

Here are my top two home run prop picks on DraftKings Sportsbook for Thursday’s slate: Fernando Tatis Jr. and Giancarlo Stanton.

Let’s break them down.

Top MLB Home Run Props

Fernando Tatis Jr. 1+ Home Run (+306)

It was not been an especially nice season for Ryan Feltner. Allow me to paint a picture. The right-hander was off to a great start in his first appearance of 2026, throwing three scoreless innings in Toronto, but a come-backer forced Feltner out of the ballgame. Since then, the 29-year-old has been getting absolutely demolished. In a 15.0 inning span, the RHP has pitched to a 7.20 ERA and a 7.34 FIP, with the main issue being the five long balls that Feltner’s surrendered. For the season as a whole, Feltner owns a fourth percentile opponent barrel rate (17.2%) and an 11th percentile opponent hard hit rate (50.0%). That is no way to live when you have to make half your starts at Coors Field. Bad things are going to happen.

Feltner’s also posted reverse-splits to this point in 2026, with right-handed opponents slashing .341/.413/.683. So, let’s focus on the right-handed Fernando Tatis Jr. to go deep this afternoon in Colorado. Somehow, despite a 100th percentile hard hit rate (67.2%), Tatis Jr. has yet to hit a home run this season in his 103 plate appearances. A career-low 25.8% pull rate is a concern, but at some point, the All-Star is going to see a ball go over the wall. Why not today?

Giancarlo Stanton 1+ Home Run (+434)

Remember when the report came out during the spring that Stanton’s elbows were so messed up that he couldn’t open a bag of chips? Well, we’re a month into the season, and the man with 456 career home runs seems to be doing alright — chips or no chips. In fact, the 36-year-old comes into Thursday’s series finale in Boston in possession of 100th percentile swing speed (79.5). Swing speed is supposed to fall off as you get older, and yet, somehow, the veteran with the most notable “broken” body in the sport is still getting it done. Hall of Fame players are just a different breed, people.

Stanton also owns a 93rd percentile barrel rate (18.5%) and a career .299 ISO against left-handed pitching. That should play in a matchup with Payton Tolle, who will be making his 2026 MLB debut this evening. Tolle’s got a big fastball and a bright future, but he did struggle to keep the ball in the park in his 16.1 innings in the big leagues last season. In those seven appearances, the southpaw conceded five long balls.