Ryan Wohl gives his best bets for Saturday’s UFC Fight Night card in Vegas, headlined by Manel Kape vs. Kyoji Horiguchi.
This Saturday’s UFC Fight Night is headlined by a rematch between Manel Kape and Kyoji Horiguchi. The upcoming UFC Fight Night event begins with the Prelims at 5:00 p.m. ET and continues with the Main Card at 8:00 p.m. ET on Paramount+.
Check out my best bets and full breakdown below ahead of this week’s UFC Fight Night.
Nine years after their first fight, Manel Kape and Kyoji Horiguchi will face each other again. Horiguchi beat Kape by third-round submission in December 2017 at a Rizin event. Since they first fought, Horiguchi is 14-3 with one no contest, while Kape is 11-5 in that span. Kape has won three straight fights by knockout and is 7-1 in his previous eight. Horiguchi left the UFC for over eight years, returned in November 2025, and has won two straight fights in the promotion.
Kape is the favorite at -155 in this bout, with Horiguchi being a +130 underdog on DraftKings Sportsbook. Although Kape has displayed elite knockout power lately, Horiguchi is the more versatile fighter in this contest. Kape lands more significant strikes per minute (5.04 vs. 3.77) while being more accurate (56% vs. 47%), but Horiguchi absorbs nearly two fewer strikes per minute (2.13 vs. 4.08).
Kape has the power advantage, but Horiguchi is the quicker fighter. Opponents have struggled in the past to figure out Horiguchi, as he is hard to beat due to his speed and all-around skill set. Getting Horiguchi at +130 is a great value play, considering the upside he possesses, and he enters this fight with a win already against Kape.
Navajo Stirling, the City Kickboxing product, has won his first four fights in the UFC and overall has an undefeated 9-0 record. He is coming off a second-round knockout over Bruno Lopes in March. Although Stirling is early in his career, he has a wealth of knowledge, having trained with UFC Light Heavyweight Champion Carlos Ulberg and former UFC Middleweight Champion Israel Adesanya.
Now Stirling will test his skills against 10-year UFC veteran Ion Cutelaba, who beat Oymar Sy in his previous contest in March. Although Cutelaba has way more experience in the UFC Octagon, Stirling’s physical stature and skill set appear to be on a different level. Stirling is three inches taller (6’4″ vs. 6’1″) with a four-inch reach advantage (79″ vs. 75″).
In this contest, Stirling is a -325 favorite with Cutelaba being a +260 underdog. Stirling averages more than two more significant strikes per minute (6.25 vs. 4.23) while being more accurate (52% vs. 43%) as well. Cutelaba is better on the ground offensively, but Stirling should be able to keep this a striking battle, as he has an 82 percent takedown defense. Stirling has won five of nine fights by knockout, and I think he enters this bout with the confidence he showed in his last fight; another finish is likely. You can get Stirling at +100 to score a knockout against Cutelaba.
An intriguing featherweight contest is featured on this card between Melsik Baghdasaryan vs. Murtazali Magomedov. Baghdasaryan is 8-3 with five wins by knockout but is coming off a loss to Jean Silva in February 2025. Magomedov, 26, is 10-0 with 10 finishes and is making his UFC debut after picking up a victory on Dana White’s Contender Series in September 2025.
Both fighters in this contest have the same standing reach (70″) and height (5’9″). On DraftKings Sportsbook, Magomedov is a -345 favorite with Baghdasaryan being the underdog at +275. Magomedov is the more versatile fighter in this matchup, having displayed finishing ability both on the feet and on the ground throughout his career. With that said, I’m taking him to pick up a victory by KO/TKO/DQ or submission at -110. His aggressiveness and pace should be too much for Baghdasaryan to handle in this contest.
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