Ryan Wohl gives his best bets for Saturday’s UFC Fight Night card in Baku, headlined by Rafael Fiziev vs. Manuel Torres.
The UFC is back in Baku, Azerbaijan, for a Fight Night event! Saturday’s card is headlined by a Lightweight contest between Rafael Fiziev vs. Manuel Torres. This week’s UFC Fight Night has a special start time as the Prelims begin at 9:00 a.m. ET with the Main Card at 12:00 p.m. ET.
Check out my best bets and full breakdown below ahead of this week’s UFC Fight Night.
Manuel Torres is on quite a run, winning two straight fights by knockout, and is 5-1 with five finishes in the UFC. The opposite is true for Rafael Fiziev, who is 1-4 in his previous five contests and has struggled to find consistency. Torres knocked out Grant Dawson in his last fight, while Fiziev came up short against Mauricio Ruffy.
In this contest, Torres is taller by two inches (5’10” vs. 5’8″) and has a two-inch larger standing reach (73″ vs. 71″). Both fighters do their best work on the feet, but Torres is a much more advanced striker than Fiziev is. Torres lands 7.29 significant strikes per minute compared to Fiziev’s 4.71.
On DraftKings Sportsbook, Torres is a -112 favorite with Fiziev as a -108 underdog. If Torres comes out aggressively, he is capable of what Ruffy did against Fiziev. Since Torres is the bigger fighter in this contest, he should be able to assert his dominance while making it difficult for Fiziev to get going.
Shara Magomedov is taking on Michel Pereira in the co-main event of this card. Magomedov enters this bout with a 16-1 record with 12 knockouts. His last win came against Marc-Andre Barriault 11 months ago in July 2025. Pereira got back in the win column for the first time in nearly two years when he beat Zachary Reese in February.
Although Magomedov and Pereira combine for 32 career finishes, they haven’t displayed that same level of urgency recently. Two of Pereira’s previous three fights have gone to a decision, and he hasn’t scored a finish since May 2024. Magomedov’s last two fights went to the judges’ scorecards, and five of his last eight fights have gone to a decision. With that being said, I’m taking this contest to go the distance at -120.
The opening fight of this Main Card is Abus Magomedov vs. Michal Oleksiejczuk in a three-round Middleweight fight. Magomedov is coming off a loss to Joe Pyfer, but won three consecutive bouts before that. Oleksiejczuk has won three straight contests, with two of them coming by submission.
On paper, Magomedov has the advantage, as he is taller (6’2″ vs. 6’0″) and has a greater standing reach (78″ vs. 74″). Magomedov lands 1.59 more takedowns per 15 minutes, but Oleksiejczuk has a 52 percent takedown defense, which should help to neutralize that. On the feet is where Oleksiejczuk excels, as he has 16 knockouts and averages 5.85 significant strikes per minute.
For this fight, Oleksiejczuk is a -120 favorite with Magomedov being a +100 underdog on DraftKings Sportsbook. If Oleksiejczuk can keep this fight on the feet for the majority of the time, another victory is likely due to his striking advantage.
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