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The PGA TOUR is playing back-to-back national opens the next two weeks, with the RBC Canadian Open setting the stage for the U.S. Open next week. This will be the second straight RBC Canadian Open played at TPC Toronto at Osprey Valley’s North Course, which underwent a major renovation to become the new home of this event. The crowd is always very involved and excited at this event, and it’s typically a great week of golf as pros look to tune their game up for next week’s major. DraftKings is ready to tee it up with some nice GPP contests to help build your bankroll for next week with large top prizes. My top three fantasy golf picks as pivot plays for this week’s GPP contests are Collin Morikawa ($9,900), Max Greyserman ($7,500) and Jackson Suber ($7,000).
Let’s define what we’re searching for in this post, to be sure we’re all aiming at the same target. A fantasy golf pivot play is a golfer with low expected ownership in tournament formats but high upside. These picks go against the grain and typically come with more risk compared to popular options with similar salaries. In large-field tournaments, it’s important to differentiate your lineup with low-ownership plays like these, even though they are NOT the safest options.
These are “grip it and rip it,” boom-or-bust style options that could go off or flame out. Getting players at low ownership is critical for success in GPP tournament-style events with many entries, so making yours stand out is critical. Be sure to check out my companion post to this one that highlights my picks for cash lineups if you’re looking for safer options that raise the floor.
Let’s break down why I like each of my top three pivot plays this week!
Set your DraftKings fantasy golf lineups here: PGA TOUR $750K Sand Trap [$200K to 1st]
Many people are fading Morikawa this week since he’s been dealing with an injury and mostly just using this week to test things out before next week’s U.S. Open. However, he’s getting much less attention than the other top options in the field like Matt Fitzpatrick ($10,500), Tommy Fleetwood ($10,300) and Sam Burns ($10,100), setting him up to be a solid pivot play if he comes through with a big week in his top form.
Morikawa has the kind of game that can fit just about any track and gives him a good chance to claim a win if he’s at his best. He didn’t play last year on this course, but he finished T14 in 2019, which was his professional debut and the only other time he played this event.
Despite dealing with injuries, he has had a very strong season. He won the AT&T Pebble Beach Pro-Am for his seventh PGA TOUR career victory and immediately followed that up with top-10 finishes at two more Signature Events at the Genesis Invitational and the Arnold Palmer Invitational. He was rolling right along before having to withdraw with a back injury from THE PLAYERS Championship.
Moarikawa returned to action with top-10 finishes at the Masters and RBC Heritage despite clearly being at less than 100%. In his last two events, he struggled at the Cadillac Championship and PGA Championship, although he did make the cut.
Over the last six months, Morikawa has been at the top of this field in Strokes Gained: Approach and ranks second in Strokes Gained: Tee-to-Green and Total Strokes Gained. He has the pedigree and overall game to contend, and since everyone seems to be fading him, he’s a nice contrarian option to make your lineup stand out this week.
Another way to go against the flow with a pick that brings a high ceiling is by targeting Greyserman in the mid-$7,000s. Eric Cole ($8,000), Andre Putnam ($7,400), Rico Hoey ($7,700) and Zachary Bauchou ($7,300) are more popular, but Greyserman also brings a very high ceiling.
The main reason the public is fading Greyserman is that he posted a dud his last time out at the Charles Schwab Challenge, missing the cut by a wide margin. Driving accuracy is extremely important at Colonial Country Club, which isn’t his strength, so it makes sense that his game wasn’t the best fit.
This week’s course should be a better fit and give him a chance to get back on track. He was gathering momentum before that letdown with four straight top-40 finishes, including a T14 at the PGA Championship and a T9 at THE CJ CUP Byron Nelson at TPC Craig Ranch the week before his missed cut.
He already started to turn things around by posting back-to-back rounds of 68 to make it through U.S. Open final qualifying in Purchase, NY.
Greyserman has shown the ability to contend when he’s on his game by finishing runner-up five times in his PGA TOUR career. He’s still in search of his first PGA TOUR win, and he’ll look to carry over his strong play from “Golf’s Longest Day” as he heads to Canada this week.
While he isn’t one of the top names in the field, Suber is one of my favorite GPP options this week since he savs so much salary and still brings plenty of upside. More well-known options like Tony Finau ($7,400), Tom Kim ($7,200) and Erik Van Rooyen ($6,600) are getting more attention, but I like the form and history Suber offers.
Last year, the 26-year-old from the University of Mississippi finished T18 at the RBC Canadian Open on this same course. That was one of his six top-25 finishes on the PGA TOUR, but he still ended up just outside the top 100 in the FedExCup Fall, earning only conditional status for this season.
He has teed it up on the Korn Ferry Tour as a result, earning a T4 at the Astara Golf Championship in February. He has also been making the most of his chances on the PGA TOUR, making three straight cuts with a T19 at the ONEflight Myrtle Beach Classic in early May, a solo-fourth at the low-scoring TPC Craig Ranch, and T67 at the Charles Schwab Challenge.
In that fourth-place finish at THE CJ Cup Byron Nelson, he posted an impressive bogey-free, 10-under 61 in Round 2 and went on to finish third in the field in Strokes Gained: Approach. Over the last three months, Suber ranks in the top 25 in the field in Strokes Gained: Approach. Over the last 30 days, he ranks 13th in that category and in the top 20 in Total Strokes Gained as well.
With his shotmaking rounding into form, Suber seems to be gathering momentum coming into the summer. After his strong finish on this track last year, he brings great GPP upside to make him a pivot value play this week.
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