The NBA’s Western Conference Finals opened with a bang earlier this week in a Game 1 that can only be called pure cinema. The Oklahoma City Thunder forced overtime in the final seconds before eventually falling to the San Antonio Spurs, and tonight these teams clash again in OKC. The play of Chet Holmgren came under fire after a quiet outing in the series opener, and he’s struggled against this opponent in most of his recent matchups. Can he bounce back tonight, or is another fade looming?

Here are the top Chet Holmgren prop bets on DraftKings Sportsbook for Wednesday’s Thunder vs. Spurs Game 2 in the Western Conference Finals.

Best Chet Holmgren prop bets

As we wrote on Monday ahead of Game 1, 2025-26 marked the best campaign of Holmgren’s career after securing a massive payday in the offseason. He made 69 appearances in the regular season, averaging 17.1 points, 8.9 rebounds and 1.9 blocks per game while shooting 55.7% from the field. His totals in scoring, rebounding, and FG% were all new career highs. In the playoffs, he’s largely been excellent as well. Prior to the start of this series, Holmgren averaged 18.6 points and 9.1 rebounds per game over his eight appearances, shooting 60.0% overall and 38.7% from deep. He also continued to pitch in as a defender, posting 1.8 blocks and 1.4 steals in addition to his presence on the glass.

However, Game 1 of the Western Conference Finals was his worst performance to date during this run. The Thunder suffered their first loss and it’s no coincidence that it coincided with an explosion from Victor Wembanyama, who Holmgren was entirely outclassed by and didn’t guard nearly as much as one would expect. OKC’s prized big man recorded just eight points with eight rebounds and two blocks, shooting only 28.6% (2-for-7). It was a rough outing given the role Holmgren typically plays, but it wasn’t the biggest surprise for those familiar with his track record against the Spurs.

Tonight, DraftKings Sportsbook lists Holmgren’s prop bet lines at O/U 13.5 points, 8.5 rebounds, 1.5 assists, 1.5 blocks and 1.5 three pointers. His combined PTS + REB + AST line comes in at 26.5.

After Monday’s Game 1, Holmgren has now faced San Antonio five times this season. Across those outings, he averages only 10.0 points, 8.0 rebounds and 1.6 assists. To top it off, his FG% comes in at only 36.8% with a 3P% of 28.6%. I wrote ahead of the series opener that we could see Victor Wembanyama’s length continue to bother Holmgren, which is exactly how things played out in that matchup.

Going into tonight, I expect much of the same. Holmgren’s scoring prop dropped down two ticks from 15.5 points on Monday, but even at a lower line, I still like the under on this market. Over his last five meetings against Wembanyama and the Spurs, Holmgren has recorded under 13.5 points in four of those contests. Those points totals are 17, seven, 10, eight, and eight — hardly encouraging production. Even more interesting is that he averages just 2.8 made field goals on 7.6 attempts per game against San Antonio and has three or fewer made field goals in four of those five appearances. His shot volume drops significantly in this matchup from the 11.3 FGA per game in the regular season, surely as a result of an even scarier defensive big man standing in his path.

With low volume and the NBA’s best defender in the paint, I fully support fading Holmgren again tonight for under 13.5 points.

Best bet: Chet Holmgren under 15.5 points (-104)