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Letters from Leo — the American Pope & US Politics

“Weapons and Walls” — In Madrid, Pope Leo XIV Rebukes the Politics Tearing Us Apart “No Just War” in Iran — Pope Leo XIV Retires the Warhawks’ Favorite Doctrine on the Flight to Madrid Pope Leo XIV’s New AI Encyclical Is Already Making a Dent in Trump’s Washington “I Asked Him for a Miracle” — Spike Lee Says Pope Leo XIV Is Pulling for the Knicks After Two Months of MAGA Attacks, Pope Leo XIV Outpaces Trump by 54 Points Pope Leo XIV Hands Vatican Communications to the Woman Who Pulled EWTN Back From the Brink Bishop Barron Claims the Left Wants to “Demonize” Trump. Standing With the Poor Is Not Demonization — It Is the Faith. The Splendor No Machine Can Replace “Useless” — Trump Renews His Attack on Pope Leo XIV After Chicago Mayor Visits Vatican Pope Leo XIV Just Quoted The Lord of the Rings Against Peter Thiel’s Empire — and Thiel Is Now Fleeing America ‘The Grand Humbling’ — Silicon Valley Responds to Pope Leo XIV “Disarm AI” — Pope Leo XIV Drops His First Encyclical on Slavery, Algorithms, and War The Spirit Walks Through Locked Doors Pope Leo XIV’s First Encyclical Arrives Tomorrow — Here’s What We Expect “Life Is Political” — Cardinal Michael Czerny Defends Pope Leo XIV’s Amidst Trump Attacks “An Eclipse of What It Means to Be Human” — Pope Leo XIV Previews AI Encyclical As Christian Persecution Surges in Netanyahu's Israel, Pope Leo XIV Confronts a Hatred Crisis That Has Reached American Streets What the Vatican Just Released on Gay Catholics — and Where Pope Leo Stands Sent by Pope Leo XIV, Cardinal Czerny Rebukes Trump’s Threats to “Take Cuba” Stephen Colbert’s White Whale — Will Pope Leo XIV Close The Late Show on Thursday? Joined By Anti-Catholic Pastors, Barron and Dolan Speak at Trump’s Prayer Rally Confronting Silicon Valley, Pope Leo XIV Drops His AI Encyclical on Memorial Day With Anthropic Onstage Don’t Cling to Me As Trump Attacks Pope Leo XIV and ICE Raids Catholic Parishes, Bishop Barron Tells Fox News the Real Threat Is Wokeism If You Want to Understand Pope Leo’s New Encyclical, Read This First “Elites That Care Nothing for the Common Good” — Pope Leo XIV Rebukes Trump’s European Arms Race “Schismatic Act” — Pope Leo XIV’s Doctrine Chief Warns Ultratraditionalist SSPX They Face Excommunication ICE Came for His Parishioners. Now Pope Leo XIV Is Sending Their Pastor to Lead a Diocese in Trump’s Florida. Pope Leo XIV Awards Top Diplomatic Honor to Iran’s Ambassador — Mid-War “A Dirty Cop” — Trump’s Jimmy Lai Comparison on the Eve of Beijing
Americans Are Choosing Pope Leo XIV Over Donald Trump — a...
Christopher Hale · 2026-05-17 · via Letters from Leo — the American Pope & US Politics

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The verdict came in this past week, and it wasn’t close.

A new ABC News–Washington Post–Ipsos poll, fielded April 24 to 28 and released May 6, found Pope Leo XIV with a 41 percent favorable rating among American adults and only 16 percent unfavorable.

Two-thirds of the country — 66 percent — said they reacted positively to Leo’s appeal that Americans contact Congress to work for peace and reject war.

The same poll caught Donald Trump in freefall.

His job-approval number cratered to 37 percent, with 62 percent disapproving — the lowest reading of his second term. The strikes on Iran were called a mistake by 61 percent of Americans. Nearly nine in ten reacted negatively to his recent post depicting himself as Jesus Christ. A clear 57 percent majority opposed his social-media swipe at the pope.

To this day, Trump has not picked up the phone to call Leo.

The numbers tell a story the White House would prefer to bury: across both faith and partisan divides, the American people have looked at the one-sided ‘fight’ between the pope and the president and chosen the pope.

It has been an extraordinary year for an American who once expected to live and die as a missionary in Peru.

When Robert Francis Prevost was elected pope on May 8, 2025, more than a few pundits predicted his American passport would prove a political liability. The first U.S.-born pontiff in history, ascending the throne of Peter under the shadow of MAGA — some assumed his standing in America would rise and fall with every Trumpian provocation.

Newly elected Pope Leo XIV arrives on the balcony of St. Peter’s Basilica, May 8, 2025
Newly elected Pope Leo XIV, Robert Francis Prevost, arrives on the central loggia balcony of St. Peter’s Basilica in Vatican City on May 8, 2025, after the cardinals ended the conclave. In his first public words he told the faithful, “peace be with all of you.” (Gabriel Bouys / AFP)

It hasn’t.

Across the polling year — Pew measurements, Ipsos check-ins, and my own reporting just two weeks ago on his head-to-head numbers against Trump — Leo has held firm.

Through every assault on him from the right, from JD Vance’s attacks, Mike Johnson’s retorts, to the Iran war crisis, the pope has stood at roughly the same elevation in the American imagination.

Among Catholics, his numbers are more lopsided still: 61 percent favorable, just 14 percent unfavorable. Strongly favorable views outpace strongly unfavorable views among American Catholics by more than 12 to 1.

That stability is the headline that gets missed in Washington. In a town where political fortunes swing weekly with the news cycle, Leo’s standing has been remarkably resistant to every attempt to drag him into the mud.

The president has smeared him on Truth Social, propped up MAGA pastors who told Fox News the president knows the Bible better than the pope, and most recently dispatched Marco Rubio rather than face the Holy Father himself.

None of it has moved the dial.

What makes the gap with Trump more striking still is that Leo refuses to play the game. Here’s what I mean.