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谷歌I/O 2026非关AI模型,实乃关于基础设施也
Adedoyinsola · 2026-05-24 · via DEV Community

此乃投于Google I/O写作之赛

。吾数日前自命为AGI之警。盖因吾屡见自饮AI之乳酪。

吾虽改过自新(谨制饕餮),犹常聆扬·勒孔之见于数种名播。彼恒警吾辈曰:“众类大语言模型,皆不能预其行之所致。”

谷歌I/O 2026影响深远,诸多振奋人心的宣告相继而来。于全球最大集群之中训练。每月处理之token逾七倍。基建更为宏大。推理更为迅捷。即时将更多智慧传递予数十亿之人.

然于万千演示与掌声之中,吾心所思,非模型,乃其下之机巧也。

吾乃请Google AI模式相助,以算大规模符号处理之能耗,较之人类尺度。

未及三十秒之处理,吾等所得如下。

We could power nearly 3 million light bulbs continuously, 24 hours a day, for an entire year

吾等可令近三百万盏灯持续亮于昼夜,历岁之一载。思之令人惊叹。

吾心所动,非独数字之巨,乃直觉之倒转也。

人工智能若轻若无.

尔键文于聊盒,顷刻得智。无烟无工场,无显机巧。惟见文现于掌中明方.

然其下,实有工系统,耗电饮水,设冷之基,及全球半导链,其量之广,前所未有也.

吾未移目,双子座复进一议,令我愈觉奇。其议曰,当较JHSNS_SEG_e00a5240_13__Nvidia之基设能耗,亦估冷却推论工作之服务器所需水之量。

吾遂纵之。

未几五秒(此即吾前时言三十秒为虚言也),是事乃成。

457 million litres matches the total annual water footprint of roughly 1,200 average household families.

四十五亿七千万公升,合千二百户寻常人家岁用之量.

Comparism between Nvidia power consumption and TPU power consumption

及是时,谈笑之乐渐消,始窥智识之物理经济.

谷歌IO之实得,非独谓模型日智,

乃智识渐为基建耳.

今每有指令,皆附有实耗:

  • 发电之费
  • 水冷之系
  • 数据中心之拓
  • 半导体之造
  • TPU之供链
  • 行星之热理

而奇者,用户鲜睹其一也。

最令我神往者,乃双子座(Gemini)之设问也。非视数字为惊世骇俗之昭示,反即置于广袤之行业架构中而论之。其应答虽技有裨益,然亦显人工智能之微妙:非惟解问,更塑尺度之情感诠释。

答也,虽确,犹觉稍偏——几若系统本能地缓其数之心理之冲击,以之归诸广博之AI竞逐。

诚然,吾知其故。

盖知识之惠,达于指掌,其效诚不可量也。

学子可于陋乡习量子之学。创者可于数时成其构想,非历月月。开发者可速除系统之弊,逾昔远矣。其效增实也。

然其费亦然。

曩岁,软件之展,主在玄妙。人工智能,或为今世主流之计算范式,其智识之展,亦即物理之耗于世也。

此或为斯世之定夺权衡。

自谷歌IO之后,所问非惟:

“此系统可智至何等?”

亦问:

“维持之需几何?”