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Likelihood-ratio inference on differences in quantiles
[Submitted on 15 Sep 2023 (v1), last revised 31 Jul 2024 (this v · 2024-08-05 · via Evan Miller’s News

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Abstract:Quantiles can represent key operational and business metrics, but the computational challenges associated with inference has hampered their adoption in online experimentation. One-sample confidence intervals are trivial to construct; however, two-sample inference has traditionally required bootstrapping or a density estimator. This paper presents a new two-sample difference-in-quantile hypothesis test and confidence interval based on a likelihood-ratio test statistic. A conservative version of the test does not involve a density estimator; a second version of the test, which uses a density estimator, yields confidence intervals very close to the nominal coverage level. It can be computed using only four order statistics from each sample.

Submission history

From: Evan Miller [view email]
[v1] Fri, 15 Sep 2023 12:26:49 UTC (141 KB)
[v2] Wed, 31 Jul 2024 21:44:43 UTC (141 KB)