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The San Francisco Standard

Musk vs. Altman: The AI trial of the century comes to Oakland With or without Steve Kerr, how much do the Warriors need their offense to evolve? Sheriff’s deputy accused of beating second inmate in county jail Nima Momeni, convicted of murdering tech executive Bob Lee, wants a new trial Sunset supervisor candidates join forces, targeting incumbent Alan Wong The Valkyries’ Marta Suárez returns: How a former Cal star is embracing the Bay again SF Symphony legend Michael Tilson Thomas dies: ‘Like some great library being burned’ Why empty nesters are flocking back to San Francisco (while they can still afford to) PG&E launches $10 million PAC to take out gubernatorial candidate Tom Steyer Yet another awesome wine bar opens in North Beach. This one’s Croatian The Giants’ Patrick Bailey proves big moments are in his DNA: ‘I’ve had a history’ Six candidates walked into a debate. Nobody walked out a winner Mapped: The top-priority SF streets slated for repair Aella launches AI doom creator residency in Berkeley: Grimes to mentor Yes, Xavier Becerra is surging. Thank the FOXes This North Beach eyesore was about to be torn down — until residents blocked it Opinion: Cartoon: Trump’s Presidio makeover The 18 best events in SF this weekend, from Earth Day celebrations to a dog festival The chicken breast theory of dating ‘It’s disgusting’: Jackie Speier on Swalwell and the toxic culture of Capitol Hill Can Tony Vitello’s Giants put a dent in a one-sided rivalry? 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Kawakami: How the 49ers managed the calmest offseason of this era
Tim Kawakami · 2026-05-27 · via The San Francisco Standard

Especially when Alameda is warm and sunny, Tom Tolbert’s backyard is quite the convivial spot. Call it a destination podcast studio.

I’ve been there. I’ve sat between Tom’s dog and rabbit, sipped some Diet Coke, and had a great time for hours of conversation.

But no, I never expected to see Kyle Shanahan and John Lynch making the trek out there from the South Bay, plopping themselves in Tolbert’s chairs, and laughing through an appearance on Tolbert’s streaming show — as they did last week, just days before the start of OTAs and the official end of the NFL offseason.

The 49ers’ dual leaders have never done anything like this. I’ve only watched highlights from Monday’s episode (opens in new tab), but what I’ve seen both surprised me and drove me to a conclusion that was already formulating in my head:

This has been the most relaxed offseason in this 49ers era — calmer even than their two post-Super Bowl periods and infinitely smoother than the payroll-slashing tumult a year ago.

And Lynch and Shanahan are relaxed right now. You could pick it up from the subdued tone of their personnel moves since March. And you can see it on Lynch and Shanahan’s faces next to Tolbert or any other recent public appearance.

This all makes sense as the two men go into Year 10 running this team but also underlines the messiness the 49ers have dealt with and, to Shanahan and Lynch’s great relief, resolved in the last few years.

They still haven’t won a Super Bowl, of course, and that is the one goal that matters 100 times more than any other. They still might not matchup great against the Super Bowl champion Seahawks. But more broadly, Lynch and Shanahan seemed to have settled some large things about this team and their tenure in the last 12 months.

Because this was not a desperate offseason. This was not a gotta-go-for-it offseason. This was not a save-our-jobs offseason. This absolutely wasn’t a consensus-mock-draft-big-board-please-tell-us-what-to-do offseason.

This was an offseason about full sustainability — Shanahan and Lynch have gotten this team through nine mostly very good seasons, and now they’re pointing to the next four, five, or even nine.

They do their own stuff their own way. They feel good about it. They went through this offseason totally confident in that process and shaking their heads at people who don’t like how they’re doing it.

Which is a long way of saying that it’s time for an overview of the 49ers’ moves and decisions, working from the offseason predictions I made back in February. The predictions weren’t great, but they weren’t as bad as they could’ve been. I got the gist of some things.

So here we go …

(Note: The 49ers bringing on defensive coordinator Raheem Morris might’ve been the most significant move of the offseason, but the DC decision didn’t make it into this prediction list because the Morris hiring had already been reported by the time I wrote the column.)

February Prediction 1: The 49ers will trade for Maxx Crosby

Well, actually: The 49ers most certainly did not trade for Crosby, who was sent to the Baltimore Ravens for two first-round picks in March only to be returned to the Raiders when the Ravens backed out of the trade due to medical concerns.

The 49ers clearly were not in a mood to give up premium draft picks even for somebody as proven at Crosby, even at a need position, even after they registered a league-worst 20 sacks last season.

Maybe the 49ers had a sense that Crosby wasn’t fully healthy. Looking back now, it’s fairly obvious that Shanahan and Lynch didn’t want to get themselves back into cap trauma by adding another top edge salary to Nick Bosa’s $34 million average salary and believed they could add a more cost-efficient answer in the draft.

Instead, the 49ers’ big trade was for a defensive tackle — sending a third-round compensatory pick (No. 92) in last April’s draft to Dallas for defensive tackle Osa Odighizuwa.

Then the 49ers drafted edge rusher Romello Height in the third round (No. 70).

Will that be enough — plus the return of Bosa and Mykel Williams from knee injuries and adding Morris’ brain power — to revive the pass rush? I think Crosby would’ve been an instant jolt and a potential final puzzle piece.

But if Odighizuwa turns into the 49ers’ best DT since they traded DeForest Buckner six years ago and Height is as good or better than the now-retired Bryce Huff, the 49ers’ pass rush should be a lot better than it was last year … without paying out those first-round picks or all that money to Crosby.

February Prediction 2: The 49ers will trade Mac Jones for a 2027 third-round pick that could move up to a second-rounder

Well, actually: Since the start of the offseason, Shanahan said the 49ers had no interest in trading Jones away unless they got knocked over with an offer for their key QB security blanket; it turns out they didn’t get knocked over.

QB-needy teams chose other options, without giving up high future draft picks. Minnesota signed Kyler Murray. Miami signed Malik Willis. The New York Jets traded a late-round pick for Geno Smith. And Arizona … nope, I have no idea what Arizona is doing.

Also, when I made that prediction, I didn’t expect that 2027 picks would be so hard to pry loose in trades. But that makes sense — next year’s QB draft class looks like an all-timer, so even the most desperate teams weren’t going to trade a good ‘27 pick unless they got a star back. And it’s clear that nobody thinks that Jones is a star QB1.

I’m sure that Shanahan is more than good with that. And Jones seems fine spending another year as Brock Purdy’s backup.

February Prediction 3: If there’s a surprising big name targeted, it’ll be center Tyler Linderbaum

Well, actually: Though the 49ers splurged on expensive centers early in this era, they’re out of that game these days and I should’ve known that. There was no indication this spring that they ever checked in on Linderbaum, who signed with the Raiders for three years, $81 million, with $60 million guaranteed, all record financial terms for an interior offensive lineman.

Much to the understandable chagrin of many 49ers fans, Shanahan and Lynch are happy with Jake Brendel at center for now. And they drafted Carver Willis as a potential replacement in the future.

(Note: I also listed Trey Hendrickson, Alec Pierce, and Mike Evans in this “possible surprising big-name target” category.)

February Prediction 4: The 49ers will lose Jauan Jennings but keep Eddy Piñeiro in free agency

Well, actually: The 49ers didn’t lift a finger and watched Jennings sign a one-year, $8 million contract with the Vikings — less than the multiyear salary the 49ers offered him during the troubled extension negotiations last summer.

And they signed Piñeiro to a four-year, $17 million extension with $10 million guaranteed. That’s a top-12 kicker contract. Piñeiro earned it.

February Prediction 5: The 49ers will sign tight end Isaiah Likely

Well, actually: The 49ers didn’t sign Likely, who ended up leaving the Ravens to join the New York Giants on a three-year, $40 million deal.

Instead, the 49ers landed a more significant big target for Purdy — signing Evans to a three-year, $60.4 million deal (with only $14.3 million guaranteed).

I guessed Likely because George Kittle is going to miss some time coming off of his torn Achilles and because I wasn’t sure how much the 49ers would want to spend on Evans, who turns 33 in August.

But they got Evans on team-friendly terms and, if he can stay healthy, he should be more productive than any other receiver they could’ve acquired. He’s a great fit with Purdy.

A football player wearing a red Tampa Bay Buccaneers jersey and helmet reaches out with both hands to catch a football in mid-air.
Perhaps the biggest move of San Francisco’s offseason was signing veteran WR Mike Evans to a team-friendly deal | Source: Mike Ehrmann/Getty Images

February Prediction 6: The 49ers will bring back a former stalwart at a discount price — maybe Dre Greenlaw

Well, actually: Late last season, you could tell Lynch and Shanahan were getting nostalgic for some of the spirit of the early 2020s, so it was no shock when the 49ers signed old favorite Greenlaw to a one-year, $7.5 million deal after he was released in a cap-shedding by Denver.

I was much more surprised when the 49ers traded last year’s starter at weak-side linebacker, Dee Winters, during the draft, which means that they’re counting on Greenlaw to bounce back full time from two injury-riddled seasons.

Obviously, the 49ers brought Greenlaw back so they could line him up next to Fred Warner every snap possible. But there’s a risk: The 49ers could’ve kept Winters around as insurance at least through camp to see if Greenlaw was back to 100%.

February Prediction 7: If the 49ers don’t add many offensive playmakers, we’ll hear a lot about the two Jordans — 2025 draftees Jordan James and Jordan Watkins — possibly moving into bigger 2026 roles

Well, actually: James is still very much in the mix to back up Christian McCaffrey, even after the 49ers drafted Kaelon Black; there’s not as much chatter about Watkins after the 49ers loaded up at WR by signing Evans and Christian Kirk and using the 33rd pick to select De’Zhaun Stribling.

February Prediction 8: Once again, there will be no heavy investments at either guard spot or right tackle

Well, actually: There were no heavy investments at either guard spot or right tackle. The 49ers signed Robert Jones to compete at left guard and that’s about it.

Shanahan and Lynch just don’t believe in committing a lot of resources to these positions. They’ve signed right tackle Colton McKivitz to a moderate deal, they’ve got Dominick Puni at right guard, Brendel at center, and the low-cost competition at left guard.

The left-tackle spot, of course, is a different thing altogether. Within this category, I also noted that the 49ers had to restructure Trent Williams’ contract to give him guaranteed money into 2027 and knock down his cap number. That’s what happened — Williams signed a two-year, $50 million deal with $37 million guaranteed.

February Prediction 9: The 49ers’ top draft pick this year will be a wide receiver

Well, actually: The 49ers’ top draft pick — No. 33 overall, after they moved down from No. 27 and again from No. 30 — was Stribling, who was assuredly not in the Mock Draft Consensus top 30, 40, 100, or even 150.

Is this a bad thing? Shanahan and Lynch draft for their own specifications, not anybody else’s, and Stribling has the size, speed, and physical nature of a potential WR1 in the Shanahan scheme. For other reasons, the MDC wanted them to take a more polished WR like Denzel Boston or an offensive lineman or defensive back.

We’ll see how it turns out. It’s not like the 49ers were sitting with a top-10 pick and skipped over a sure-thing prospect. They moved back a few times when they didn’t love what was there at 27 and took the guy they liked at 33.

For my part, I always respect decision-makers who have their own visions for building and maintaining a roster and who don’t get shoved into doing things just to avoid immediate criticism.

Full transparency: Part of my thinking for this prediction was that the 49ers would trade their first-rounder for Crosby, which would push defensive end way down their list of needs. Instead, the 49ers used their top pick on a WR then their next pick on a pass rusher.

You’re almost never wrong guessing that Shanahan and Lynch will invest more draft capital in WRs and defensive linemen than any other position.

February Prediction 10: The offloading of Brandon Aiyuk is inevitable but will not be without complications

Well, actually: It’s still inevitable. But there are still complications. Because the 49ers and Aiyuk can’t stop being overdramatic with each other.

When Aiyuk is finally released or traded — presumably soon — that will finally close the book on the 49ers’ chaotic WR era, going from the Deebo Samuel tension to the Aiyuk divorce to the Jennings departure.

And Shanahan and Lynch’s offseasons will be a lot calmer when it’s all over. This one already was.