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Fortune | FORTUNE

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Wall Street has never cashed in harder | Fortune ‘The college grading system [is] almost meaningless’: People see the Ivy League as an easy A and with flawed admissions standards | Fortune The CEO of $8.5 billion Japanese car giant Nissan plays the drums in a band and hits the tennis courts to destress from the top job | Fortune New York governor's take on a millionaires tax: fancy pied-à-terre second apartments worth over $5 million | Fortune Pope Leo XIV: A ‘handful of tyrants’ are ravaging earth with war and exploitation | Fortune Trump has no plan to cut the $39 trillion national debt, but he does want to cut childcare. His budget director is scrambling to clarify | Fortune China's economy grows 5% in first quarter, surprising economists to the upside | Fortune Everyone was wondering what Trump wanted more: Warsh smoothly seated at the Fed, or for Powell to pay. We have our answer | Fortune Palantir exec: the biggest mistake retailers are making with AI? 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'We are actively praying for a hurricane' | Fortune U.K. won’t take part in Trump’s planned blockade of Hormuz strait | Fortune Hungarian voters oust Viktor Orbán, a close ally of Trump and Putin, despite late campaign push from JD Vance | Fortune Blazing hot IPOs, an AI agent craze, and a new word for ‘token’: Here’s what’s happening in the world of Chinese AI | Fortune Iran’s crumbling economy is the regime’s greatest weakness with prices up 40% since the war began while authorities worry about making payroll | Fortune Here’s how a U.S. naval blockade of the Strait of Hormuz could work. ‘This is a big task, and it’s a big gamble’ | Fortune Intuit was an AI pioneer. Why its stock became a SaaSpocalypse casualty | Fortune Artemis III will practice docking Orion with lunar landers in Earth orbit next year while Musk’s Starship and Bezos’ Blue Moon compete for Artemis IV | Fortune Oil tankers U-turn in Hormuz as U.S.-Iran talks break down Saudi Arabia says East-West pipeline restored to full capacity In 2011, Barack Obama said it was time to ‘pivot’ to Asia. But 15 years later, the U.S. is still at war in the Middle East Trump says U.S. Navy to impose Hormuz blockade after Iran ceasefire talks end with no deal. ‘No one who pays an illegal toll will have safe passage’ This TikTok sensation sold her startup for $2 billion. 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We’ve now got the full text of the U.S.-Iran peace deal—and allies are appalled at the gains it hands to Iran | Fortune
Jim Edwards · 2026-06-18 · via Fortune | FORTUNE

We’ve now got the full text of the “Memorandum of Understanding” that ended the war between the U.S. and Iran. Read the full text here. The BBC has a good summary here. And the WSJ has a useful annotated version here. The main points: 

  • An end to the fighting, followed by an extendable 60-day negotiation period aiming for a more detailed pact that will include a compliance-monitoring mechanism. 
  • Iran is banned from obtaining nuclear weapons but “will maintain the current status quo of its nuclear program,” it says. 
  • The blockades of the Strait of Hormuz will be ended, allowing “passage of commercial vessels with no charge for 60 days.” After that period, the “future administration and maritime services” of the Strait will go to Iran and Oman—language which seems to leave open a backdoor for tolls. 
  • Iran will receive $300 billion in an investment package coming mainly from international partners.
  • $100 billion in Iranian assets will be unfrozen.

Conspicuous by its absence: There is no mention of Iran curbing its proxy terror group, Hezbollah. In fact, Israel continued to pound southern Lebanon over the last 24 hours. That conflict isn't done.

Reaction: Most countries are glad the war is over and that trade will flow through the Strait again. However, the U.S.’s allies are fuming that the deal cements Iran’s dominance of the Gulf region, leaves its nuclear power program in place, and does nothing to stop Hezbollah’s attacks on Israel.  

Israel’s Netanyahu regards the deal as a strategic disaster. It leaves Israel to fight Iran alone. Former vice president Mike Pence called it “appeasement.” Louisiana Republican Senator Bill Cassidy said, "this is the worst foreign policy blunder in decades."

THE MARKETS

Warsh to Wall Street: “Two” means two—and traders hated hearing it

The U.S. Federal Reserve’s latest policy statement was glib but definitive: “We will meet our price stability objective,” new chairman Kevin Warsh wrote—and then repeated again and again at his press conference. Inflation has been running above the Fed’s 2% target for five years. Warsh called that unacceptable and kept saying so. “The ‘two’ is the left of the decimal point,” he told reporters. “For now, ‘zero’ is to the right.”

The Fed held its benchmark interest rate at 3.5% to 3.75%, as expected, but now nine out of 18 officials pencil in at least one hike this year, and the new statement stripped out the old easing bias. Markets threw a fit over it. The Dow fell 507 points after touching a record intraday high. The S&P 500 lost 1.2%, the Nasdaq 1.3%. By the close, money markets had moved an October hike to slightly better than a coin flip, when before almost nobody would’ve bet on it, Fortune’s Eva Roytburg reports

  • S&P 500 futures were up 0.93% this morning. The index lost 1.21% yesterday. 
  • In Europe, the Stoxx 600 was down 0.4% in early trading and the U.K.’s FTSE 100 was down 0.91% before lunch.
  • Asia: South Korea’s KOSPI was up 2.25%. Japan’s Nikkei 225 was up 1.65%. India’s Nifty 50 was up 0.34%. China’s CSI 300 was up 21%. 
  • Brent crude was under $78 per barrel this morning.
  • Bitcoin was $64.1K.

EUROPE'S MOST INNOVATIVE COMPANIES

The definitive list of organizations driving the continent forward

Now in its second year, Fortune Europe’s Most Innovative Companies spans 300 companies across 18 countries and 21 industries, highlighting organizations that are pushing boundaries in fields ranging from healthcare and manufacturing to telecommunications, retail, and financial services. Each was evaluated across three dimensions of innovation: product, process, and culture. 

POLITICS

Elon Musk may have accidentally chosen the future prime minister of Britain

CEO of Tesla and SpaceX Elon Musk

Today is election day in Makerfield, a small constituency in Northwest England, which may be about to choose a future prime minister for Britain—a decision that Elon Musk has unwittingly had a hand in. The vote is happening because the previous member of parliament tactically resigned to trigger a by-election, allowing the Labour party’s mayor of Manchester, Andy Burnham, to stand for the seat. Burnham promised that if he wins he will challenge Keir Starmer, the U.K.’s current prime minister, for the party leadership, and thus the premiership of Britain. Normally, this is a safe seat for Labour, and Burnham thus has a plausible path to becoming Britain’s next PM by the end of the year. Starmer’s personal polling numbers have collapsed and many Labour MPs would like to see him replaced with a fresh face. 

There’s just one wrinkle: Musk. 

For years, Musk has been using X to boost his anti-immigrant messages, frequently castigating Britain for being too generous to migrants. At one point, he predicted that “Civil war in Britain is inevitable.” Musk has repeatedly retweeted posts by Rupert Lowe, the leader of the U.K.’s far-right Restore Britain party. As a result, Lowe—a relatively obscure figure in Britain until Musk started boosting him—now has 836,000 followers on X. Restore is currently expected to take about 6.5% of the vote.

Unfortunately for Musk, that’s a big enough slice of the vote to deny victory to Burnham’s main opponent, Nigel Farage’s Reform UK party, which is also anti-immigration. In other words, by boosting a tiny party that cannot win, Musk may have carved a path for Burnham and his soft-left faction in Labour to take control of No.10 Downing Street.

  • Expect the result of the vote count to become official in the small hours of Friday morning.

MORE FROM FORTUNE

Anne Hathaway says she was spammed with ChatGPT-written thank you notes after hiring a recent role: ‘Nobody on that list gets that job’ - Orianna Rosa Royle

Meet the CEO of US Polo Assn: He grew up in one of America’s poorest regions and now hosts Prince William and runs a $2.7 billion brand - Orianna Rosa Royle

The G7 just pledged to break China’s rare earth grip — there’s a lot of work to do - Mia Osmonbekov

Vanguard’s alarming state of retirement in 2026: The average American has $167,970 in their account—or they have $44,115 - Nick Lichtenberg

CHART OF THE DAY

The stock market doesn’t care who the new Fed chair is

If you’re looking for a pattern in the stock markets related to the arrival of a new boss at the U.S. Federal Reserve, stop. There isn’t one. “While there's always chatter about new Fed Chairs being ‘tested’ by markets, the truth is, a buoyant or rocky start often has more to do with external forces than the individual at the helm,” Deutsche Bank’s Jim Reid said in an email. “The data suggest a consistent theme: a new Fed Chair rarely dictates the market narrative. Instead, they often find themselves hostages to broader economic currents, whether positive or negative.”

NUMBER OF THE DAY

13.1%

The share of U.S. credit card loans that are 90 days or more past due, according to Goldman Sachs. That’s “back in line with the Global Financial Crisis peak,” according to analyst Arun Manohar, and the rate is rising. “There remains meaningful stress among lower-income and lower-credit-score ('subprime') borrowers.”

THE FRONT PAGES TODAY

Trump and AI CEOs discuss global AI rules - Axios

Wall Street Hiring Dilemma: AI Can Model—but Can’t Make—the Next Rainmaker - WSJ

Apple prepares second-generation iPhone Air for spring 2027 - Bloomberg

JPMorgan Chase cuts off Anthropic access for its Hong Kong staff - FT

Oil falls as International Energy Agency forecasts supply glut next year after U.S.-Iran deal - CNBC

We Liked Remote Work. Then We Looked at the Data. - NYT

ONE MORE THING

Why Hollywood is full of British people

Have you ever wondered why Tom Cruise’s “Mission: Impossible” crew always seems to be gathering in London? Or why the space aliens of the “Star Wars” franchise have British accents? And why is it that the Oscars seem to feature a disproportionate number of Brits, given that most English-language movies are made by American companies?

Fortune has the answer. It’s because the U.K. government pays for them to be there. That’s right. The U.K. has a longstanding policy offering foreign filmmakers a 25.5% refund on their movie-making costs if they film in Britain, use British actors, or otherwise anglicize their films. 

This provides a staggering discount on costs for U.S. studios. Universal Studios spent $658.8 million to create “Jurassic World: Dominion,” setting a new record for the most expensive movie ever made. British taxpayers refunded Universal $127.8 million of that, our analysis shows. 

The macro result is that spending on feature film production in the U.K. rose 31% to a record $3.8 billion last year.