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Fortune | FORTUNE

One man can kill Bill Ackman’s $64 billion bid for Universal Music Group—and no one knows what he’ll do | Fortune Poppi’s cofounder pitched her startup on Shark Tank while 9 months pregnant and landed a $400,000 deal—now it's worth $2 billion | Fortune Teen boys are choosing AI girlfriends over real ones for 'maximum control, zero rejection'—experts say it could make them unemployable | Fortune A United American merger is by no means impossible given the president 'loves big deals' | Fortune Reed Hastings’s planned exit from $455 billion Netflix ‘had nothing to do with’ the failed deal for Warner Bros., says Ted Sarandos | Fortune Meet Joe McCann: the high-flying crypto trader held in Tanzania after sudden death of his influencer fiancée Ashly Robinson | Fortune Gen Z is carving a different path in the housing market by doing it alone | Fortune U.S. Catholic leaders criticize Trump for ‘disparaging words’ about the pope as Vatican clash risks alienating Catholic voters | Fortune China has ‘nearly erased’ America’s lead in AI—and the flow of tech experts moving to the U.S. is slowing to a trickle, Stanford report says | Fortune Self-made millionaire behind $5 billion Skims Emma Grede says it all began with a cold call to Kris Jenner: Emma Grede—the self-made millionaire behind the $5 billion Skims empire—says it all began with an audacious cold call to Kris Jenner: ‘The difference between me and someone else is, I made it happen’ | Fortune Americans have never been this gloomy about the economy. Wall Street has never cashed in harder | Fortune ‘The college grading system [is] almost meaningless’: People see the Ivy League as an easy A and with flawed admissions standards | Fortune The CEO of $8.5 billion Japanese car giant Nissan plays the drums in a band and hits the tennis courts to destress from the top job | Fortune New York governor's take on a millionaires tax: fancy pied-à-terre second apartments worth over $5 million | Fortune Pope Leo XIV: A ‘handful of tyrants’ are ravaging earth with war and exploitation | Fortune Trump has no plan to cut the $39 trillion national debt, but he does want to cut childcare. His budget director is scrambling to clarify | Fortune China's economy grows 5% in first quarter, surprising economists to the upside | Fortune Everyone was wondering what Trump wanted more: Warsh smoothly seated at the Fed, or for Powell to pay. We now have an answer. Palantir exec: the biggest mistake retailers are making with AI? 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静默八亿之危:长新冠之费日增,华盛顿视而不见 | 《福布斯》
The Conversation · 2026-05-24 · via Fortune | FORTUNE

久疫之闻渐稀,较之疫初起数载,远逊往昔。

然此非谓逾四千四百万人,曾报久疫之症者——此数犹增——已无苦楚,或谓美利坚未偿其费。

久疫者,乃指一症也。COVID-19之症至少一者,若倦怠、气促、头痛等,逾三月不除

吾辈人工智能与计算建模之学者也,久研此术,以助沟通决断__JHSNS_SEG_aeea6370_12__。 公共卫生 之中。是研究也,吾辈合众,为公共卫生与 传染病 之专家。

吾等之研,载于二零二五年《传染病杂志》,估长新冠之总经济负累, 恐将逾八亿美金。 二零二五年至二零二七年岁末之间.

是项研究,旨在构建并运行一计算模拟之模,以示疫后之人将何以遭际,兼括其罹患长新冠之风险,及随之而现之症候、医疗之费、失工之效。

吾辈推演,长新冠一例,岁耗美利坚者,自九千九百零六元至一万一千六百四十六元不等,其症愈甚者,耗更巨。生产力之损,将占其费逾九成,是故邦国诸主,皆受其累。

Woman lying in bed, looking out of window with a dismayed look on her face.
无愈法可施,长新冠之人,惟恃调治其症而已。计数器/数字视觉通过盖蒂图片社

疑多答寡

研究表明,感染新冠病毒者中,有六分之一至五分之一之人将续发长新冠。吾等乃取此区间之数,入吾模以算长新冠所患之人,由是得其受不同症候之机,及伴随之医疗费与生产力之损。

取其范围之最保守者六,假定长新冠之症仅持一年,则岁费当二亿零一百万。若增此比至十,则岁负当推至三亿四千万。

自当然也,症结愈久,所费愈巨。前所言之八百亿美元之重,乃就二零二五年至二零二七年之岁,假令长新冠之症发者六分之一,其状持续至三载而言。此估或犹为慎焉,盖自五载至六载前罹此疾者,犹有症状绵延,未见其终之兆。复次,有证可考者,言长新冠之症,未得其诊,亦未闻其报.

今之长新冠,尚无良方,疗治之需力图善治其症亦未明其久康之症,或可何时而愈。

复有之长新冠疗愈之坊匮乏甚矣,专精之治,求之者众而应之者寡。

求索之切,而资用之匮。

虽无预防之策,且需更多明解,美利坚之国,渐离长疾之善治。

如夫唐纳德·特朗普总统之二次任期,经费大削于中,至二二五年,卫生与人道事务部(Department of Health and Human Services)闭长新冠研究之署仅存二载。同年,美国国立卫生研究院终止多项研究资助计划。久病之途与疗方.

今无明国策,以谋长新冠之治,抑或新冠之普治。关于面罩之用,室内空气之度,及每年当谁接种之议。 自二零二一年以降,其意不明,屡有变迁。此等建议与规约,亦因邦国、因组织而异,相去甚远。

若无变通,长新冠之患必日增,而其症状绵延者,犹将继续受苦,累及社稷。

吾辈之研,实具亿万之由,证此万般之弊,灼然可见。

李 Bruce Y.纽约城市大学卫生政策与管理学教授,Dimmick Hannah,公共卫生博士后研究员,纽约城市大学公共卫生与公共政策研究生院

。此文转载自The Conversation。 依创用共享许可。阅 原文

The Conversation