Click here to see this page in other languages : French In his new book, Life 3.0: Being Human in the Age of Artificial Intelligence, Max Tegmark details 12 possible scenarios for humanity’s future, depending on how AI is created and evolves. Here is a quick cheatsheet of these options: Join the most important conversation of our time! Visit ageofai.org to share your thoughts on what our future with AI should look like.
Summary of 12 AI Aftermath Scenarios
Will humans and AI live together peacefully or will AI take over?
Libertarian Utopia Humans, cyborgs, uploads and superintelligences coexist peacefully thanks to property rights. Benevolent Dictator Everybody knows that the AI runs society and enforces strict rules, but most people view this as a good thing. Egalitarian Utopia Humans, cyborgs and uploads coexist peacefully thanks to property abolition and guaranteed income. Gatekeeper A superintelligent AI is created with the goal of interfering as little as necessary to prevent the creation of another superintelligence. As a result, helper robots with slightly subhuman intelligence abound, and human-machine cyborgs exist, but technological progress is forever stymied. Protector God Essentially omniscient and omnipotent AI maximizes human happiness by intervening only in ways that preserve our feeling of control of our own destiny and hides well enough that many humans even doubt the AI’s existence. Enslaved God A superintelligent AI is confined by humans, who use it to produce unimaginable technology and wealth that can be used for good or bad depending on the human controllers. Conquerors AI takes control, decides that humans are a threat/nuisance/waste of resources and gets rid of us by a method that we don’t even understand. Descendants AIs replace humans, but give us a graceful exit, making us view them as our worthy descendants, much as parents feel happy and proud to have a child who’s smarter than them, who learns from them, and then accomplishes what they could only dream of — even if they can’t live to see it all. Zookeeper An omnipotent AI keeps some humans around, who feel treated like zoo animals and lament their fate. 1984 Technological progress toward superintelligence is permanently curtailed not by an AI but by a human-led Orwellian surveillance state where certain kinds of AI research are banned. Reversion Technological progress toward superintelligence is prevented by reverting to a pre-technological society in the style of the Amish. Self-destruction Superintelligence is never created because humanity drives itself extinct by other means (say nuclear and/or biotech mayhem fueled by climate crisis).
This content was first published at futureoflife.org on August 28, 2017.
The Future of Life Institute (FLI) is the world’s oldest and largest AI think tank, with a team of 35+ full-time staff operating across the US and Europe. FLI has been working to steer the development of transformative technologies towards benefitting life and away from extreme large-scale risks since its founding in 2014. Find out more about our mission or explore our work.
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