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Low-Altitude UAV Tracking via Sensing-Assisted Predictive...
[Submitted on 16 Sep 2025 (v1), last revised 30 Jun 2026 (this v · 2025-09-16 · via math updates on arXiv.org

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Abstract:Sensing-assisted predictive beamforming shows significant promise for enhancing various future unmanned aerial vehicle (UAV) applications in integrated sensing and communication (ISAC) systems. However, the impact of such beamforming technique on the communication reliability was largely unexplored and challenging to characterize. To fill this research gap and tackle this issue, this paper proposes a cellular-connected UAV tracking scheme leveraging extended Kalman filtering (EKF), where the predicted UAV trajectory, sensing duration ratio, and target constant received signal-to-noise ratio (SNR) are jointly optimized to maximize the outage capacity at each time slot. To address the implicit nature of the objective function, analytical outage probability (OP) approximations are proposed based on second-order Taylor expansions, providing an efficient and full characterization of outage capacity. Subsequently, an efficient algorithm is proposed based on a combination of bisection search and successive convex approximation (SCA) to address the non-convex optimization problem with guaranteed convergence. To further reduce computational complexity, a second efficient algorithm is developed based on alternating optimization (AO). Simulation results validate the accuracy of the derived OP approximations, the effectiveness of the proposed algorithms, and the significant outage capacity enhancement over various benchmarks. Furthermore, we show that the optimized predicted UAV trajectory tends to be parallel to the base station's uniform linear array antennas with a nonzero minimum distance, indicating a trade-off between decreasing path loss and enjoying wide beam coverage for outage capacity maximization.

Submission history

From: Yifan Jiang [view email]
[v1] Tue, 16 Sep 2025 05:46:33 UTC (1,247 KB)
[v2] Tue, 30 Jun 2026 11:49:41 UTC (4,132 KB)