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Divisibility Biases in the Orders of Elliptic Curve Reduc...
[Submitted on 23 Jun 2026] · 2026-06-25 · via math updates on arXiv.org

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Abstract:Let $E$ be an elliptic curve over the rationals. In 2004, Cojocaru proved, using the Chebotarev density theorem, that the set of primes $p \leq x$ for which $m$ divides $\#E_p(\mathbb{F}_p)$ has a natural density. In 2009, Banks and Shparlinski proved an averaged version of this result over families of elliptic curves. In this article, we give a more explicit analysis of these densities. In particular, we show that, for Serre curves, the density of primes $p$ for which $m \mid \#E_p(\mathbb{F}_p)$ is approximately $1/\varphi(m)$, and is always greater than $1/m$ for every $m \geq 2$. Thus, the orders $\#E_p(\mathbb{F}_p)$ exhibit a bias toward divisibility by $m$. Finally, based on Jones' method, we prove that the average of the individual $m$-divisibility densities coincides with the average density proposed by Banks and Shparlinski.

Submission history

From: Sung Min Lee [view email]
[v1] Tue, 23 Jun 2026 18:20:14 UTC (33 KB)