Abstract:We propose a continuous time dynamical system model for tracing the evolution of confidence in a small decision making group by consensus with the possibility that a forcing factor is exerted onto the confidence of the participants. We experimentally check whether a forcing factor appears, where it begins and ends and how it affects the evolution. We find that the equilibrium value of the confidence is lower in the model with the forcing factor than without it, and that the forcing factor can be identified and induces additional oscillations of the confidence level. This is probably one of the first times when a mathematical model is able to speak about visible effects on the confidence process tracing under alterations of its levels. Pragmatically we find a model that captures influence of participants' confidence level by observing oscillations and equilibrium and we experimentally test it with measures of individual "confidence that the decision is correct" throughout the group decision-making.
From: Aurelian Gheondea [view email]
[v1]
Tue, 16 Jun 2026 12:52:26 UTC (1,608 KB)
此内容由惯性聚合(RSS阅读器)自动聚合整理，仅供阅读参考。 原文来自 — 版权归原作者所有。