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Abstract:Variance-based finite-time Lyapunov exponents (vFTLEs) provide a stochastic analogue of deterministic FTLE by measuring the covariance of stochastic arrival locations. Existing PDF-based formulations compute this covariance by solving a Fokker--Planck equation for each initial point, which becomes expensive when the diagnostic is required on a dense grid. In this work, we develop a moment-based Eulerian approximation to vFTLE in the small-noise regime. Starting from a stochastic trajectory expansion about the deterministic flow, we derive a closed covariance equation for the leading stochastic displacement. By embedding this trajectory-wise covariance dynamics into physical space, we obtain an Eulerian transport--reaction equation for a symmetric covariance tensor field. The covariance associated with each initial point is recovered by evaluating this tensor field at the deterministic arrival location, and a moment-based vFTLE is then defined from its largest eigenvalue. The proposed method replaces a family of Fokker--Planck solves by the evolution of a single covariance tensor field, requiring only $d(d+1)/2$ scalar fields in $d$ dimensions. It also retains directional information through the eigenvectors of the covariance tensor, allowing the dominant directions of stochastic spreading to be visualized. We establish the leading-order consistency of the method with PDF-based vFTLE in the small-noise limit, clarify its relation to scalar stochastic sensitivity, and show how the same covariance equation connects process-noise spreading with deterministic deformation. In particular, deterministic FTLE is recovered, up to an additive constant, from an isotropic initial covariance when no process noise is present, while continuous process noise produces a time-integrated deformation covariance.

Submission history

From: Shingyu Leung [view email]
[v1] Thu, 18 Jun 2026 01:17:32 UTC (4,818 KB)