惯性聚合 高效追踪和阅读你感兴趣的博客、新闻、科技资讯
阅读原文 在惯性聚合中打开

推荐订阅源

MongoDB | Blog
MongoDB | Blog
Threat Intelligence Blog | Flashpoint
Threat Intelligence Blog | Flashpoint
钛媒体:引领未来商业与生活新知
钛媒体:引领未来商业与生活新知
OSCHINA 社区最新新闻
OSCHINA 社区最新新闻
让小产品的独立变现更简单 - ezindie.com
让小产品的独立变现更简单 - ezindie.com
小众软件
小众软件
freeCodeCamp Programming Tutorials: Python, JavaScript, Git & More
博客园 - Franky
博客园 - 聂微东
V
Visual Studio Blog
I
InfoQ
罗磊的独立博客
Security Latest
Security Latest
G
Google Developers Blog
博客园_首页
P
Proofpoint News Feed
T
Threat Research - Cisco Blogs
D
DataBreaches.Net
PCI Perspectives
PCI Perspectives
Forbes - Security
Forbes - Security
P
Proofpoint News Feed
Exploit-DB.com RSS Feed
Exploit-DB.com RSS Feed
Know Your Adversary
Know Your Adversary
奇客Solidot–传递最新科技情报
奇客Solidot–传递最新科技情报
Recent Commits to openclaw:main
Recent Commits to openclaw:main
The Cloudflare Blog
AWS News Blog
AWS News Blog
Latest news
Latest news
T
Tailwind CSS Blog
P
Palo Alto Networks Blog
Hugging Face - Blog
Hugging Face - Blog
云风的 BLOG
云风的 BLOG
Cyberwarzone
Cyberwarzone
T
The Exploit Database - CXSecurity.com
WordPress大学
WordPress大学
Recorded Future
Recorded Future
A
Arctic Wolf
V
Vulnerabilities – Threatpost
Security Archives - TechRepublic
Security Archives - TechRepublic
宝玉的分享
宝玉的分享
人人都是产品经理
人人都是产品经理
月光博客
月光博客
有赞技术团队
有赞技术团队
P
Privacy & Cybersecurity Law Blog
Scott Helme
Scott Helme
美团技术团队
Hacker News - Newest:
Hacker News - Newest: "LLM"
Jina AI
Jina AI
N
News and Events Feed by Topic
Attack and Defense Labs
Attack and Defense Labs

stat updates on arXiv.org

Improved Baselines with Representation Autoencoders Calibeating for general proper losses: A Bregman divergence approach Dimension-Free Convergence of Discrete Diffusion Models: Adjoint Equations Induce the Right Space Multi-task Linear Regression without Eigenvalue Lower Bounds: Adaptivity, Robustness, and Safety XAI and Statistical Analysis for Reliable Intrusion Detection in the UAVIDS-2025 Dataset: From Tree to Hybrid and Tabular DNN Ensembles Reasoning Models Don't Just Think Longer, They Move Differently TabPFN-3: Technical Report Reframing preprocessing selection as model-internal calibration in near-infrared spectroscopy: A large-scale benchmark of operator-adaptive PLS and Ridge models Towards a holistic understanding of Selection Bias for Causal Effect Identification Adaptive Kernel Density Estimation with Pre-training Coreset-Induced Conditional Velocity Flow Matching RISED: A Pre-Deployment Evaluation Framework for High-Stakes AI Decision-Support Systems, with Application to Healthcare ISOMORPH: A Supply Chain Digital Twin for Simulation, Dataset Generation, and Forecasting Benchmarks Yield Curves Dynamics Using Variational Autoencoders Under No-arbitrage Model-based Bootstrap of Controlled Markov Chains Online Learning-to-Defer with Varying Experts Self-Supervised Laplace Approximation for Bayesian Uncertainty Quantification Keeping Score: Efficiency Improvements in Neural Likelihood Surrogate Training via Score-Augmented Loss Functions One-Step Generative Modeling via Wasserstein Gradient Flows Exact Stiefel Optimization for Probabilistic PLS: Closed-Form Updates, Error Bounds, and Calibrated Uncertainty A Composite Activation Function for Learning Stable Binary Representations Adaptive Calibration in Non-Stationary Environments Real vs. Semi-Simulated: Rethinking Evaluation for Treatment Effect Estimation Federated Language Models Under Bandwidth Budgets: Distillation Rates and Conformal Coverage On Variance Reduction in Learning Mean Flows When Attention Beats Fourier: Multi-Scale Transformers for PDE Solving on Irregular Domains A Refined Generalization Analysis for Extreme Multi-class Supervised Contrastive Representation Learning Ensemble Distributionally Robust Bayesian Optimisation The Proxy Presumption: From Semantic Embeddings to Valid Social Measures Modulated learning for private and distributed regression with just a single sample per client device Query-efficient model evaluation using cached responses Order-Agnostic Autoregressive Modelling with Missing Data Grokking or Glitching? How Low-Precision Drives Slingshot Loss Spikes Tuning Derivatives for Causal Fairness in Machine Learning Spherical Flows for Sampling Categorical Data Bayesian Rain Field Reconstruction using Commercial Microwave Links and Diffusion Model Priors Unified Framework of Distributional Regret in Multi-Armed Bandits and Reinforcement Learning Jacobian-Velocity Bounds for Deployment Risk Under Covariate Drift Self-Attention as Transport: Limits of Symmetric Spectral Diagnostics Perturbation is All You Need for Extrapolating Language Models Graph Convolutional Support Vector Regression for Robust Spatiotemporal Forecasting of Urban Air Pollution Segmenting Human-LLM Co-authored Text via Change Point Detection Stochastic Schrödinger Diffusion Models for Pure-State Ensemble Generation Understanding Self-Supervised Learning via Latent Distribution Matching Imbalanced Classification under Capacity Constraints On the Spectral Structure and Objective Equivalence of Orthogonal Multilabel Fisher Discriminants Partially Observed Structural Causal Models Robust and Fast Training via Per-Sample Clipping Efficient Preference Poisoning Attack on Offline RLHF Joint Energy Management and Coordinated AIGC Workload Scheduling for Distributed Data Centers: A Diffusion-Aided Reward Shaping Approach Distributional Causal Mediation via Conditional Generative Modeling A Theory of Saddle Escape in Deep Nonlinear Networks Adaptive Querying with AI Persona Priors Optimal Spatio-Temporal Decoupling for Bayesian Conformal Prediction Wasserstein Distributionally Robust Regret Optimization for Reinforcement Learning from Human Feedback Electricity price forecasting across Norway's five bidding zones in the post-crisis era Adversarial Robustness of NTK Neural Networks Identifiability and Stability of Generative Drifting with Companion-Elliptic Kernel Families A Limit Theory of Foundation Models: A Mathematical Approach to Understanding Emergent Intelligence and Scaling Laws Conditional Score-Based Modeling of Effective Langevin Dynamics Generative Synthetic Data for Causal Inference: Pitfalls, Remedies, and Opportunities Inference of Online Newton Methods with Nesterov's Accelerated Sketching ProEval: Proactive Failure Discovery and Efficient Performance Estimation for Generative AI Evaluation Turtle shell clustering: A mixture approach to discriminative clustering with applications to flow cytometry and other data Score-Repellent Monte Carlo: Toward Efficient Non-Markovian Sampler with Constant Memory in General State Spaces Learning to Emulate Chaos: Adversarial Optimal Transport Regularization Geometric Layer-wise Approximation Rates for Deep Networks S2MAM: Semi-supervised Meta Additive Model for Robust Estimation and Variable Selection Beyond Coefficients: Forecast-Necessity Testing for Interpretable Causal Discovery in Nonlinear Time-Series Models Curiosity-Critic: Cumulative Prediction Error Improvement as a Tractable Intrinsic Reward for World Model Training Knowing When to Quit: A Principled Framework for Dynamic Abstention in LLM Reasoning Enhancing AI and Dynamical Subseasonal Forecasts with Probabilistic Bias Correction MinShap: A Modified Shapley Value Approach for Feature Selection Zeroth-Order Optimization at the Edge of Stability Generative Augmented Inference Estimating Continuous Treatment Effects with Two-Stage Kernel Ridge Regression Rare Event Analysis via Stochastic Optimal Control Adaptive Learning via Off-Model Training and Importance Sampling for Fully Non-Markovian Optimal Stochastic Control. Complete version Beyond Fixed False Discovery Rates: Post-Hoc Conformal Selection with E-Variables Beyond Augmented-Action Surrogates for Multi-Expert Learning-to-Defer Spatio-temporal probabilistic forecast using MMAF-guided learning Conformal Policy Control The Implicit Curriculum: Learning Dynamics in RL with Verifiable Rewards Probabilistic NDVI Forecasting from Sparse Satellite Time Series and Weather Covariates Constrained Policy Optimization with Cantelli-Bounded Value-at-Risk Factorizable joint shift revisited Feature Learning Dynamics in Infinite-Depth Neural Networks Statistically-Guided Meta-Learning for Cross-Deployment Activity Recognition in Distributed Fiber-Optic Sensing DAPS++: Rethinking Diffusion Inverse Problems with Decoupled Posterior Annealing Branching Flows: Discrete, Continuous, and Manifold Flow Matching with Splits and Deletions Manifold Dimension Estimation via Local Graph Structure Neural ARFIMA model for forecasting BRIC exchange rates with long memory Neural Stochastic Differential Equations on Compact State Spaces: Theory, Methods, and Application to Suicide Risk Modeling BOOST: A Data-Driven Framework for the Automated Joint Selection of Kernel and Acquisition Functions in Bayesian Optimization Random Walk Learning and the Pac-Man Attack Random Matrix Theory for Deep Learning: Beyond Eigenvalues of Linear Models Data Balancing Strategies: A Systematic Survey of Resampling and Augmentation Methods Post-Training Augmentation Invariance Optimizing LLM Inference: Fluid-Guided Online Scheduling with Memory Constraints Dataset-Driven Channel Masks in Transformers for Multivariate Time Series
Benchmarking Physics-Informed Time-Series Models for Operational Global Station Weather Forecasting
Tao Han, Zhibin Wen, Zhenghao Chen, Dazhao Du, Song Guo, Lei Bai · 2024-06-20 · via stat updates on arXiv.org

The development of Time-Series Forecasting (TSF) models is often constrained by the lack of comprehensive datasets, especially in Global Station Weather Forecasting (GSWF), where existing datasets are small, temporally short, and spatially sparse. To address this, we introduce WEATHER-5K, a large-scale observational weather dataset that better reflects real-world conditions, supporting improved model training and evaluation. While recent TSF methods perform well on benchmarks, they lag behind operational Numerical Weather Prediction systems in capturing complex weather dynamics and extreme events. We propose PhysicsFormer, a physics-informed forecasting model combining a dynamic core with a Transformer residual to predict future weather states. Physical consistency is enforced via pressure-wind alignment and energy-aware smoothness losses, ensuring plausible dynamics while capturing complex temporal patterns. We benchmark PhysicsFormer and other TSF models against operational systems across several weather variables, extreme event prediction, and model complexity, providing a comprehensive assessment of the gap between academic TSF models and operational forecasting. The dataset and benchmark implementation are available at: https://github.com/taohan10200/WEATHER-5K.