惯性聚合 高效追踪和阅读你感兴趣的博客、新闻、科技资讯
阅读原文 在惯性聚合中打开

推荐订阅源

Blog — PlanetScale
Blog — PlanetScale
Y
Y Combinator Blog
G
Google Developers Blog
Cyber Security Advisories - MS-ISAC
Cyber Security Advisories - MS-ISAC
L
LangChain Blog
S
SegmentFault 最新的问题
J
Java Code Geeks
V
Visual Studio Blog
H
Help Net Security
Stack Overflow Blog
Stack Overflow Blog
aimingoo的专栏
aimingoo的专栏
OSCHINA 社区最新新闻
OSCHINA 社区最新新闻
T
Tailwind CSS Blog
Microsoft Azure Blog
Microsoft Azure Blog
博客园_首页
H
Hackread – Cybersecurity News, Data Breaches, AI and More
奇客Solidot–传递最新科技情报
奇客Solidot–传递最新科技情报
博客园 - Franky
B
Blog RSS Feed
The Cloudflare Blog
MyScale Blog
MyScale Blog
月光博客
月光博客
Microsoft Security Blog
Microsoft Security Blog
美团技术团队

stat updates on arXiv.org

Simultaneous Monitoring of Shape and Surface Color via 4D Point Clouds: A Registration-free Approach A Refined Generalization Analysis for Extreme Multi-class Supervised Contrastive Representation Learning Ensemble Distributionally Robust Bayesian Optimisation The Proxy Presumption: From Semantic Embeddings to Valid Social Measures Modulated learning for private and distributed regression with just a single sample per client device Query-efficient model evaluation using cached responses Functional-prior-based approaches to Bayesian PDE-constrained inversion using physics-informed neural networks Optimal Experiments for Partial Causal Effect Identification Order-Agnostic Autoregressive Modelling with Missing Data Grokking or Glitching? How Low-Precision Drives Slingshot Loss Spikes Tuning Derivatives for Causal Fairness in Machine Learning Spherical Flows for Sampling Categorical Data Bayesian Rain Field Reconstruction using Commercial Microwave Links and Diffusion Model Priors GRALIS: A Unified Canonical Framework for Linear Attribution Methods via Riesz Representation Sharp Capacity Thresholds in Linear Associative Memory: From Winner-Take-All to Listwise Retrieval Unified Framework of Distributional Regret in Multi-Armed Bandits and Reinforcement Learning Jacobian-Velocity Bounds for Deployment Risk Under Covariate Drift Self-Attention as Transport: Limits of Symmetric Spectral Diagnostics Perturbation is All You Need for Extrapolating Language Models Adapt or Forget: Provable Tradeoffs Between Adam and SGD in Nonstationary Optimization Realizable Bayes-Consistency for General Metric Losses Graph Convolutional Support Vector Regression for Robust Spatiotemporal Forecasting of Urban Air Pollution Segmenting Human-LLM Co-authored Text via Change Point Detection Stochastic Schrödinger Diffusion Models for Pure-State Ensemble Generation Understanding Self-Supervised Learning via Latent Distribution Matching The Geometric Mechanics of Contrastive Representation Learning: Alignment Potentials, Entropic Dispersion, and Cross-modal Divergence Imbalanced Classification under Capacity Constraints On the Spectral Structure and Objective Equivalence of Orthogonal Multilabel Fisher Discriminants Partially Observed Structural Causal Models First-Order Efficiency for Probabilistic Value Estimation via A Statistical Viewpoint
Inference in stochastic differential equations using the ...
Uffe Høgsbro Thygesen, Kasper Kristensen · 2025-03-27 · via stat updates on arXiv.org

Stochastic differential equations are a natural framework for dynamic systems and time series in ecology, because they allow for non-linear first-principle knowledge and uncertainty in the dynamics, and can be combined with measurement errors. However, estimation methods are often technically and computationally challenging. Here, we demonstrate that the Laplace approximation is useful for estimating states and parameters in these models, when done correctly. We give special attention to non-linear dynamics, state-dependent noise intensities, and non-Gaussian measurement errors. Our technique adds states between times of observations, approximates transition densities using discretization methods - in the simplest case, the Euler-Maruyama method - and eliminates unobserved states using the Laplace approximation. We demonstrate that consistency requires a particular form of the approximation, and provide different approaches to implementation. Using simulated case studies, we demonstrate that transition probabilities are well approximated, that inference is computationally feasible, and that the framework leads to simple and flexible implementations.