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Improved Baselines with Representation Autoencoders Calibeating for general proper losses: A Bregman divergence approach Dimension-Free Convergence of Discrete Diffusion Models: Adjoint Equations Induce the Right Space XAI and Statistical Analysis for Reliable Intrusion Detection in the UAVIDS-2025 Dataset: From Tree to Hybrid and Tabular DNN Ensembles Reasoning Models Don't Just Think Longer, They Move Differently TabPFN-3: Technical Report Reframing preprocessing selection as model-internal calibration in near-infrared spectroscopy: A large-scale benchmark of operator-adaptive PLS and Ridge models Towards a holistic understanding of Selection Bias for Causal Effect Identification Adaptive Kernel Density Estimation with Pre-training Coreset-Induced Conditional Velocity Flow Matching RISED: A Pre-Deployment Evaluation Framework for High-Stakes AI Decision-Support Systems, with Application to Healthcare ISOMORPH: A Supply Chain Digital Twin for Simulation, Dataset Generation, and Forecasting Benchmarks Yield Curves Dynamics Using Variational Autoencoders Under No-arbitrage Model-based Bootstrap of Controlled Markov Chains Online Learning-to-Defer with Varying Experts Self-Supervised Laplace Approximation for Bayesian Uncertainty Quantification Keeping Score: Efficiency Improvements in Neural Likelihood Surrogate Training via Score-Augmented Loss Functions One-Step Generative Modeling via Wasserstein Gradient Flows Exact Stiefel Optimization for Probabilistic PLS: Closed-Form Updates, Error Bounds, and Calibrated Uncertainty A Composite Activation Function for Learning Stable Binary Representations Adaptive Calibration in Non-Stationary Environments Real vs. Semi-Simulated: Rethinking Evaluation for Treatment Effect Estimation Federated Language Models Under Bandwidth Budgets: Distillation Rates and Conformal Coverage On Variance Reduction in Learning Mean Flows When Attention Beats Fourier: Multi-Scale Transformers for PDE Solving on Irregular Domains A Refined Generalization Analysis for Extreme Multi-class Supervised Contrastive Representation Learning Ensemble Distributionally Robust Bayesian Optimisation The Proxy Presumption: From Semantic Embeddings to Valid Social Measures Modulated learning for private and distributed regression with just a single sample per client device Query-efficient model evaluation using cached responses Order-Agnostic Autoregressive Modelling with Missing Data Grokking or Glitching? 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Conditional Independence Testing Using Exchangeable Pairs
Bilol Banerjee · 2025-09-13 · via stat updates on arXiv.org

This article considers the problem of testing conditional independence between two random vectors \(bm X\) and \(\bm Y\) given a confounding random vector \(\bm Z\). An exchangeable-pairs framework is introduced through which the conditional independence testing problem is reformulated as a two-sample testing problem. The framework is motivated by ideas from the model-X literature and is based on a fundamental exchangeability property that holds under the null hypothesis of conditional independence. An energy-distance/maximum mean discrepancy type measure is employed on the resulting exchangeable pairs to quantify departures from conditional independence. A consistent estimator of the proposed discrepancy measure is constructed and its theoretical properties are established under general assumptions. A conditional independence test is then developed using this estimator as a test statistic and is calibrated through a suitable resampling procedure. It is shown that the proposed test is consistent against fixed alternatives, possesses nontrivial asymptotic power against local contiguous alternatives, attains the minimax separation rate for detecting alternatives characterized by the proposed discrepancy measure, and remains consistent when the data dimension diverges with the sample size. The effect of estimating the conditional distribution used to generate the exchangeable pairs is also investigated, and condition under which validity and power properties are preserved is established. Extensive simulation studies demonstrate that the proposed procedure performs competitively with some state-of-the-art methods.