Abstract:Collecting the FIFA World Cup sticker album presents a classic public-goods and collective-action dilemma, in which completing a collection on one's own is highly inefficient. To evaluate how localized community norms shape collective efficiency, we use agent-based modeling and Monte Carlo simulations, parameterized with empirical field observations from exchange meetups in Natal, Brazil. Reflecting the tournament's recent expansion, the Panini 2026 album features 980 individual stickers, including 68 metallic specials. We contrast a standard baseline economy (1:2 special-to-normal exchange ratio) with an overprotective, strict strategy (exclusive special-for-special trading) and an altruistic, generous strategy (in which advanced players surrender needed duplicates to assist peers). Our findings reveal that overprotective rules trap liquidity and drive network-wide inefficiency. The strict strategy increases median completion costs by 10 packs and severely penalizes the least fortunate 5\% of collectors, adding 20 packs in large cities and 30 in small communities. Conversely, widespread generosity optimizes network liquidity and dramatically compresses the long tail of bad luck. Introducing the generous strategy reduces required purchases for the 5th percentile by 90 packs in large-scale configurations and 130 packs in smaller clusters. Furthermore, widespread altruism triggers a strong functional coupling that effectively synchronizes completion rates across the network. This study demonstrates that while rigid, protective norms degrade collective welfare, generosity successfully mitigates pack-draw variance, transforming an expensive, isolated hobby into a resilient, highly efficient public good.
From: César Rennó-Costa [view email]
[v1]
Tue, 9 Jun 2026 02:24:59 UTC (3,684 KB)
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