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Regime-Adaptive Bayesian Optimization via Dirichlet Proce...
[Submitted on 27 Jan 2026 (v1), last revised 28 Jul 2026 (this v · 2026-01-28 · via stat updates on arXiv.org

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Abstract:Standard Bayesian Optimization (BO) assumes uniform smoothness across the search space an assumption violated in multi-regime problems such as molecular conformation search through distinct energy basins or drug discovery across heterogeneous molecular scaffolds. A single GP either oversmooths sharp transitions or hallucinates noise in smooth regions, yielding miscalibrated uncertainty. We propose RAMBO, a Dirichlet Process Mixture of Gaussian Processes that automatically discovers latent regimes during optimization, each modeled by an independent GP with locally-optimized hyperparameters. We derive collapsed Gibbs sampling that analytically marginalizes latent functions for efficient inference, and introduce adaptive concentration parameter scheduling for coarse-to-fine regime discovery. Our acquisition functions decompose uncertainty into intra-regime and inter-regime components. Experiments on synthetic benchmarks and real-world applications, including molecular conformer optimization, virtual screening for drug discovery, and fusion reactor design, demonstrate consistent improvements over state-of-the-art baselines on multi-regime objectives.

Submission history

From: Shibo Li [view email]
[v1] Tue, 27 Jan 2026 20:45:50 UTC (3,814 KB)
[v2] Tue, 28 Jul 2026 15:01:15 UTC (6,875 KB)