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Energy bills: What is happening to gas and electricity prices?
BBC News · 2021-08-06 · via BBC News

What will the energy cap changes mean for my bills?

Getty Images A woman holds a smart meter device whilst standing in a kitchen.Getty Images

Typical annual energy bills will rise by £221 to £1,862 from 1 July, the regulator Ofgem has announced.

The 13% increase in the energy cap affects millions and reflects soaring wholesale oil and gas costs caused by the US-Israel war with Iran.

What is the energy cap and how is it changing?

The energy cap fixes the maximum amount which customers on standard variable tariffs can be charged for each unit of gas and electricity used.

Of the 33 million:

  • around 19 million pay by direct debit
  • around 7 million pay by standard credit (they pay when they get a bill)
  • around 6 million have prepayment meters

The typical annual usage figure applies to the first category: dual-fuel households on a standard variable tariff which pay by direct debit.

Between 1 July and 30 September, their gas prices will be capped at 7.33 pence per kilowatt hour (kWh), up from 5.74p. Electricity prices will be capped at 26.11p per kWh, up from 24.67p.

It means that a typical household will pay £1,862, up from £1,641 between 1 April and 30 June.

But customers' actual bills depend on the amount of energy used and how they pay for it.

The typical annual bill from 1 July for customers who pay by standard credit will be £2,005, up 13% from £1,772.

The typical annual bill from 1 July for prepayment customers will be £1,812, up 13% from £1,597.

Ofgem regulates the energy market in England, Scotland and Wales. Northern Ireland has a separate system.

A bar chart showing the energy price cap for a typical household on a price-capped, dual-fuel tariff paying by direct debit, from January 2022 to April 2026. The figure was £1,319 based on typical usage in October 2021. This rose to a high of £4,414 in January 2023, although the Energy Price Guarantee limited bills to £2,500 for a typical household between October 2022 and June 2023. Bills dropped to £1,685 in July 2024, before rising slightly to £1,846 in October, £1,869 in January 2025, £1,992 in April 2025, £1,854 in July 2025, £1,892 in October 2025, £1,758 in January 2026, £1,641 in April 2026. When the new price cap comes into force in July, it will be £1,862 under the old typical household consumption values.

What is a typical household?

Although the price cap sets the unit prices for gas and electricity, your household's actual bill depends on the overall amount of energy you use, and how you pay for it.

Where you live, the type of property you have, how energy efficient it is, how many people live there, and the weather all make a difference.

The Ofgem cap is based on "typical" household energy use in a year with a single bill for gas and electricity settled by direct debit.

The vast majority of people pay their bill this way to help spread payments across the year.

The regulator has previously calculated that a "typical" household uses 11,500 kWh of gas and 2,700 kWh of electricity in a year.

However, it is reducing this "typical" energy use because many households have cut back due to high prices in recent years and are benefiting from improvements in energy efficiency.

Its new estimates assume annual use of 9,500 kWh of gas and 2,500 kWh of electricity.

Using these numbers the typical average bill from 1 July would be £1,663.

On this basis, typical annual bills for dual fuel direct debit households under the current energy cap would be £1,490. That means the 1 July figure is a 12% increase, similar to the 13% rise under the previous assumptions.

Ofgem previously changed its consumption estimates in 2019 and 2023.

Graphic explaining how household energy bills vary by usage level. It shows three example household types with estimated annual costs and energy use based on the new typical household energy consumption values, which will be used from July. Low usage (flat or one bedroom home): around £1,172 per year, based on about 6,000 kWh of gas and 1,600 kWh of electricity, for one to two people. Medium usage (two to three bedroom home): around £1,664 per year, based on about 9,500 kWh of gas and 2,500 kWh of electricity, for two to three people. High usage (four plus bedroom home): around £2,333 per year, based on about 14,000 kWh of gas and 3,800 kWh of electricity, for four to five people. The graphic emphasises that costs increase with higher energy use. Figures are illustrative and based on price cap rates for July to September 2026. Source: BBC analysis of Ofgem data.

What are standing charges and how are they changing?

Ofgem also controls standing charges, which are a fixed daily fee to cover the costs of connecting households to gas and electricity supplies. These vary slightly by region and payment method.

Between 1 July and 30 September 2026, average standing charges for direct debit customers will be 57.19p a day for electricity and 29.04p a day for gas.

These are largely unchanged from the amounts charged in the previous three-month period.

Campaigners have long argued that standing charges are unfair because they make up a bigger proportion of the bill for low energy households.

In response, Ofgem said it wants all energy firms to offer at least one tariff that has a low standing charge but higher cost per unit of energy.

The regulator said this would give some customers more choice and control but acknowledged it would not be suitable for everyone.

Charities, campaigners, and the suppliers' trade body criticised the proposal for just shifting the cost from one part of the bill to another rather than cutting it.

Should I take a meter reading when the energy cap changes?

Submitting a meter reading when the cap changes means you are not charged for estimated usage at the wrong rate.

This is especially important when prices go up.

Customers with working smart meters do not need to submit a reading as their bill is calculated automatically.

What could happen to energy prices in autumn 2026?

Ofgem's interim chief executive Tim Jarvis told the BBC the energy price disruption caused by the ongoing Iran war could last longer than initially thought.

Global energy costs have rocketed since the US and Israel attacked Iran on 28 February.

In response, Iran has effectively blocked the crucial Strait of Hormuz shipping route south, which normally carries a fifth of the world's oil and gas.

Jarvis said the level of the next cap, which will take effect on 1 October, largely depends on whether a peace deal can be agreed and how quickly the strait can reopen.

Most households use more energy in the winter months, so an increase in the cap at that time of year is very significant.

The regulator will announce details of the next cap by 26 August.

Should I fix my energy prices?

Around 40% of households (21 million) have fixed-term energy deals.

They are not affected by changes to the energy cap because their price will not move until the end of their tariff.

Fixed deals certainty for a set period – often a year, or longer – but if energy prices drop while you are on the deal, you could be stuck at a higher price. You may also have to pay a penalty to leave a fixed deal early if you change your mind.

Ofgem says moving to a fixed deal can protect customers from future cap increases. However, it is important to understand all the costs involved, including any penalties if you decide to leave the deal early.

Experts recommend checking whole-of-market energy price comparison sites to help find the best deal.

How else has the way energy bills are calculated changed?

Since 1 April, charges related to the insulation scheme - called the Energy Company Obligation - have been scrapped, and for three years, renewable energy projects will be 75%-funded by general taxation instead of a levy on energy bills.

Before the changes, energy bills in England, Scotland and Wales included additional charges to help fund insulation for low-income households, and subsidise green energy projects such as wind farms and solar panels.

Nearly everyone in England, Wales and Scotland will benefit from this cut, although the amounts will vary between households.

However, the cost of maintaining and strengthening energy network infrastructure like power lines, cables and gas pipes is rising.

It said this will strengthen the energy supply, and better shield customers from volatile energy prices. It will also reduce Britain's dependence on gas.

Customers will pay part of the cost of the upgrade, through an additional £108 added to energy bills by 2031.

These charges started to appear from April 2026, adding about £6 a month to the bill for a typical household covered by the energy cap.

In April, the government also announced separate plans to change the way electricity is priced to ensure that household energy bills are less vulnerable to spikes in gas prices.

It also wants customers to benefit more from the cheaper running costs of renewable energy sources like wind and solar power.

The government has not said how much bills might fall but believes savings could be "significant". It said the changes could be in place by spring 2027.

What is happening to the price of heating oil?

Heating oil is not covered by the energy cap. About 1.5 million UK households use heating oil and they have already seen a sharp increase in bills since the Middle East conflict triggered a jump in oil prices. Some users have seen costs more than double.

The issue of rising prices is particularly acute in Northern Ireland, where about 500,000 homes use heating all, almost two-thirds of all households.

The government has announced a £53m support package for "vulnerable" households who use heating oil. It says support will be "targeted" to help low-income households in rural communities.

What help can I get with energy bills?

Suppliers must offer customers affordable payment plans or repayment holidays if they are struggling to pay their bills. Most also offer hardship grants.

The data also showed that more than one million households had no arrangement to repay their debt, another record high.

The scheme could see up to £500m knocked off the £4.4bn currently owed to suppliers. But covering the cost will require an extra £5 being added to everyone's gas and electricity bill.

The Fuel Direct Scheme lets people repay an energy debt directly from their benefit payments.

About nine million pensioners also got the Winter Fuel Payment in 2025/2026, worth £200 or £300, after a government U-turn over eligibility.

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