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Policy Split: Incentivizing Dual-Mode Exploration in LLM Reinforcement with Dual-Mode Entropy Regularization METER: Evaluating Multi-Level Contextual Causal Reasoning in Large Language Models Think Before you Write: QA-Guided Reasoning for Character Descriptions in Books METRO: Towards Strategy Induction from Expert Dialogue Transcripts for Non-collaborative Dialogues Retrieval as Generation: A Unified Framework with Self-Triggered Information Planning Do LLMs Know Tool Irrelevance? Demystifying Structural Alignment Bias in Tool Invocations Enhancing Multimodal Large Language Models for Ancient Chinese Character Evolution Analysis via Glyph-Driven Fine-Tuning Exploring Knowledge Conflicts for Faithful LLM Reasoning: Benchmark and Method CocoaBench: Evaluating Unified Digital Agents in the Wild MathAgent: Adversarial Evolution of Constraint Graphs for Mathematical Reasoning Data Synthesis Efficient Training for Cross-lingual Speech Language Models Shared Emotion Geometry Across Small Language Models: A Cross-Architecture Study of Representation, Behavior, and Methodological Confounds A Systematic Analysis of the Impact of Persona Steering on LLM Capabilities Uncertainty-Aware Web-Conditioned Scientific Fact-Checking When Valid Signals Fail: Regime Boundaries Between LLM Features and RL Trading Policies When Verification Fails: How Compositionally Infeasible Claims Escape Rejection Mem$^2$Evolve: Towards Self-Evolving Agents via Co-Evolutionary Capability Expansion and Experience Distillation AOP-Smart: A RAG-Enhanced Large Language Model Framework for Adverse Outcome Pathway Analysis Advancing Polish Language Modeling through Tokenizer Optimization in the Bielik v3 7B and 11B Series TInR: Exploring Tool-Internalized Reasoning in Large Language Models Do BERT Embeddings Encode Narrative Dimensions? A Token-Level Probing Analysis of Time, Space, Causality, and Character in Fiction Generating Multiple-Choice Knowledge Questions with Interpretable Difficulty Estimation using Knowledge Graphs and Large Language Models Deep-Reporter: Deep Research for Grounded Multimodal Long-Form Generation Too Nice to Tell the Truth: Quantifying Agreeableness-Driven Sycophancy in Role-Playing Language Models Learning and Enforcing Context-Sensitive Control for LLMs Efficient Process Reward Modeling via Contrastive Mutual Information Computational Lesions in Multilingual Language Models Separate Shared and Language-specific Brain Alignment Bridging Linguistic Gaps: Cross-Lingual Mapping in Pre-Training and Dataset for Enhanced Multilingual LLM Performance Early Decisions Matter: Proximity Bias and Initial Trajectory Shaping in Non-Autoregressive Diffusion Language Models LLMs Should Incorporate Explicit Mechanisms for Human Empathy
From Prediction to Intervention: The Evolution of AI in B...
Andrew Feinberg, Aleksandr Sarachakov, Viktor Svekolkin, Alexand · 2026-04-15 · via cs.AI updates on arXiv.org

Artificial intelligence has advanced rapidly in biomedicine through large-scale multimodal data integration, enabling increasingly accurate prediction of clinical outcomes and patient stratification. These systems, however, remain fundamentally observational: they learn statistical associations from historical data and operate within previously observed biological and clinical states, limiting their ability to generalize to novel therapies or unobserved interventions. We argue that AI in biomedicine is undergoing a structural transition. As biomedical decision-making increasingly depends on reasoning about intervention rather than extrapolation from past observations, predictive architectures become structurally insufficient. Systems that learn from historical data cannot, by construction, represent how biological systems evolve under perturbation, and therefore cannot reliably support decision-making in the presence of novel interventions. We introduce a conceptual framework distinguishing observational and interventional intelligence and define disease-level models as systems that explicitly represent the state, dynamics, and intervention response of biological processes. These models enable a shift from inference to simulation -- reasoning about what will happen under intervention rather than what is likely based on the past. This transition also implies a shift in where value is created: from data processing and prediction toward systems that support and define decision-making under intervention. It follows directly from the structure of biomedical decision-making and defines the next stage of AI in medicine. Systems that cannot model intervention will be structurally excluded from decision-making.