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Playing Along: Learning a Double-Agent Defender for Belief Steering via Theory of Mind RPA-Check: A Multi-Stage Automated Framework for Evaluating Dynamic LLM-based Role-Playing Agents A Triadic Suffix Tokenization Scheme for Numerical Reasoning Hidden Measurement Error in LLM Pipelines Distorts Annotation, Evaluation, and Benchmarking Synthius-Mem: Brain-Inspired Hallucination-Resistant Persona Memory Achieving 94.4% Memory Accuracy and 99.6% Adversarial Robustness on LoCoMo Time is Not a Label: Continuous Phase Rotation for Temporal Knowledge Graphs and Agentic Memory NovBench: Evaluating Large Language Models on Academic Paper Novelty Assessment Policy Split: Incentivizing Dual-Mode Exploration in LLM Reinforcement with Dual-Mode Entropy Regularization METER: Evaluating Multi-Level Contextual Causal Reasoning in Large Language Models Think Before you Write: QA-Guided Reasoning for Character Descriptions in Books METRO: Towards Strategy Induction from Expert Dialogue Transcripts for Non-collaborative Dialogues Retrieval as Generation: A Unified Framework with Self-Triggered Information Planning Do LLMs Know Tool Irrelevance? Demystifying Structural Alignment Bias in Tool Invocations Enhancing Multimodal Large Language Models for Ancient Chinese Character Evolution Analysis via Glyph-Driven Fine-Tuning Polyglot Teachers: Evaluating Language Models for Multilingual Synthetic Data Generation Exploring Knowledge Conflicts for Faithful LLM Reasoning: Benchmark and Method CocoaBench: Evaluating Unified Digital Agents in the Wild MathAgent: Adversarial Evolution of Constraint Graphs for Mathematical Reasoning Data Synthesis Evaluating Memory Capability in Continuous Lifelog Scenario How Robust Are Large Language Models for Clinical Numeracy? An Empirical Study on Numerical Reasoning Abilities in Clinical Contexts Efficient Training for Cross-lingual Speech Language Models Shared Emotion Geometry Across Small Language Models: A Cross-Architecture Study of Representation, Behavior, and Methodological Confounds A Systematic Analysis of the Impact of Persona Steering on LLM Capabilities Uncertainty-Aware Web-Conditioned Scientific Fact-Checking When Valid Signals Fail: Regime Boundaries Between LLM Features and RL Trading Policies When Verification Fails: How Compositionally Infeasible Claims Escape Rejection Mem$^2$Evolve: Towards Self-Evolving Agents via Co-Evolutionary Capability Expansion and Experience Distillation AOP-Smart: A RAG-Enhanced Large Language Model Framework for Adverse Outcome Pathway Analysis OccuBench: Evaluating AI Agents on Real-World Professional Tasks via Language Environment Simulation Advancing Polish Language Modeling through Tokenizer Optimization in the Bielik v3 7B and 11B Series
Towards Effective Long-Video Event Prediction via Multi-L...
Bo Peng, YuanJie Lyu, PengGang Qin, Tong Xu · 2026-05-29 · via cs.CL updates on arXiv.org

Accurately predicting future events is fundamental to content understanding and decision-making across various domains. While prior research has primarily focused on text or short-video scenarios, long-video event prediction, characterized by vast multimodal context and more complex narratives, remains underexplored. Meanwhile, although recent Long-Video Language Models (LVLMs), built on Large Language Models (LLMs) and Vision-Language Models (VLMs), have shown promise in long-video question answering and summarization, they struggle to generalize to event prediction, as they can neither precisely extract event-related details nor perform fine-grained analysis of event development. To address this gap, we propose VISTA, a multi-level event semantics mining framework for long-video event prediction. Initially, VISTA applies a character-centric visual prompt to precisely extract event-related visual details, enhancing detail-level semantics; subsequently, it employs a knowledge-enhanced iterative retrieval strategy, guiding the LLM to progressively construct logically coherent event chains, thereby improving event-level narratives; ultimately, VISTA adopts a human-like propose-then-retrieve strategy to generate diverse future-oriented proposals and integrate multi-level clues, producing robust and accurate predictions. Extensive experiments on real-world datasets validate the effectiveness of VISTA for long-video event prediction.