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RUSI: Latest Publications

Recording: Reflections, 25 Years After 9/11 How Low-Skill Russian Sabotage Drives High-Stakes Outcomes The Battery Gap: Building Industrial Strength for a Military Edge Everybody Loves Our Dollars: How Money Laundering Won Doing Business with Criminals: Between Exclusion and Surveillance Steal Barentsburg: Caught Between Worlds Why FSRBs are Central to Sustaining the FATF’s Effectiveness The Dual Burden of FATF Compliance for Developing Countries Proliferation Financing Risk Assessments The FATF Needs to Tackle How War is Financed Is the Financial Action Task Force Fit for the Future? Revision to FATF Recommendation 8: Impacts on Sub-Saharan Africa Sanctions and the Militarisation of Ukraine's Children Cutting Through the Myths of Blockchain Analysis Combatting the Illicit Financing of Hybrid Threats Reassessing Structural, Contextual Constraints in FATF Evaluations A Strong Taskforce Needs a Strong Secretariat Does the FATF Take a Risk-Based Approach? Illicit Finance in a Fragmenting World The Special Relationship in an Era of Strategic Transformation Stay Humble and Listen: Elisa de Anda Madrazo on Leading the FATF Editorial: RUSI Journal, Issue 5, 2026 Security Cooperation Among the Arctic NATO Allies Alliance ‘Dots on the Map’: Jan Mayen and the High North Connection Beyond the Hype: AI, Ransomware and Business Models The Russian Way of War: Precision Strike Evolution Episode 127: Great Power Diplomacy: How to Prevent a Third World War The Overstretch Facing the US Navy Australia’s Democratic Coordination in an Age of Foreign Interference
Operational Continuity in a Contested Energy Transition
2026-04-06 · via RUSI: Latest Publications

RUSI's Organised Crime and Policing Team recently hosted a roundtable discussion on 26 March 2026 in Brussels to examine Europe's energy system and the resilience of critical energy infrastructure under hybrid and war scenarios.

The roundtable was part of the Energy and Security Programme and the Open Climate Programme, with an emphasis on strengthening European policy and institutional engagement at the intersection of energy systems and defence resilience. 

The roundtable discussion brought together representatives from EU institutions, NATO, defence and energy industries and experts from universities and think tanks. The discussions were off the record and unattributable. 

From Asset Protection to System Resilience

Participants emphasised that threats under hybrid and war scenarios increasingly impact entire energy systems rather than individual assets. Disruptions may combine kinetic attacks, supply chain interference or cyberattacks, creating cascading effects across entire energy networks, fuel logistics and industrial activities. This acts as a threat multiplier, making it hard to identify causes and respond effectively, especially when multiple weaknesses are attacked simultaneously or repeatedly. 

Another issue identified by participants was energy supply as a basic dependency for both civilian functioning and military interoperability. Electricity and fuel form the backbone of defence industrial output, logistics and combat readiness. However, military systems remain heavily reliant on vulnerable civilian infrastructure, creating strategic dependencies that adversaries can exploit. This interconnection raises questions about whether defence-related assets and energy infrastructure should be more explicitly recognised within the EU's critical infrastructure frameworks. 

Experts noted that energy system resilience is less about preventing attacks than about maintaining functionality amid disruption. This places great emphasis on recovery capacity, including spare equipment, possible standardisation and trained personnel, as demonstrated by Ukraine's example of rapidly restoring damaged infrastructure under sustained attack.

Structural Constraints on Resilience in Europe

The discussion highlighted that Europe's current energy system is poorly configured for today's risk environment. It was engineered primarily for efficiency rather than resilience against prolonged, multiple attacks. It lacks hardened substations, underwater cables, fuel stockpiles and fast-response capacity. Industrial bottlenecks exacerbate this by blocking rapid repairs and reserve buildup, leaving systemic weak spots for adversaries to target strategically. 

In addition, the lack of manpower was emphasised, with the Ukrainian example illustrating a shortage of engineers willing to repair energy infrastructure under attack. 

A recurring theme was the lack of clarity in roles and responsibilities across institutions, regulations and sectors. Energy infrastructure development, defence planning and regulatory frameworks continue to operate under different risk assumptions and timelines. Questions remain around the definition of critical infrastructure and resilience, alongside the allocation of responsibilities between civilian and defence authorities, private businesses and operators. 


WRITTEN BY

Petras Katinas

Research Fellow in Climate, Energy and Defence

Organised Crime and Policing

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