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News | Mail Online

Ferrari and Mercedes drivers are among 'brazen' motorists stealing £1.2m of petrol a week as fuel prices soar due to Iran war Mystery over how teens drove off M1 bridge in crash that killed the pair as images show how minibus was struck by car in thousand-to-one twist of fate Business implicated in the methanol poisonings that killed two Aussie backpackers claims it's been cleared Parents' fury that army's failure to notice their son had gone missing for two weeks may have cost him his life Putin's shadow fleet sailors can claim asylum if Britain seizes their ships in the English Channel, ministers fear 'We are now in a world war': Chilling prediction by billionaire US hedge fund founder Ray Dalio - and the cycle of events that has put us 'two steps from conflict between major global powers' A judge was told it 'WASN'T NECESSARY' for Julian to show his face in court. Then he murdered a mum, her unborn baby, friend and her aunt in a crime that appalled Australia Widow of British pensioner, 77, killed in Canary Islands bus crash was among the 27 passengers sent to hospital after suspected brake failure sent it plunging down ravine Woman died when she slipped from Good Samaritan's grip as he tried to save her from bridge fall after boyfriend row Bus surfing idiots risk their lives by clinging onto back of the Number 114 to avoid paying £1.75 fare Iran claims US has agreed to release frozen assets but Washington denies the move as JD Vance holds peace talks in Pakistan Coroner accused of stealing valuables from the dead pleads no contest Old interview comes back to haunt Albo as the fuel crisis continues to hit Aussies hard How trusting my late mum's financial adviser turned out to be the most catastrophic money decision I've ever made Aspiring California Governor Eric Swalwell apologizes to wife in video denying sexual assault claims as calls for him to quit mount New renderings show details of 250-foot tall 'Arc de Trump' set to tower over DC as president confirms he has officially submitted plans Queue jumpers, loud chewers and cups of tea going cold... researchers reveal the things Britons love to hate Keir Starmer's digital ID scheme mocked as 'ridiculous' after minister confirms it will be optional - and will not include a person's biological sex Senior health officials discuss banning doctors from going on strike in bid to stop long-running dispute Cocaine worth £256m and 'heavier than an adult RHINO' found stashed in banana boxes in one of UK's biggest ever hauls Starmer calls NATO 'the single most effective military alliance the world has ever known' after Trump's threatens to quit the bloc - but admits Europe must do more NASA's Artemis II astronauts send first messages and display surprising ability after moon mission 'It's a smart move': What a source close to the Trumps told me about why Melania dropped Epstein bombshell: CAROLINE GRAHAM We're sitting on a goldmine! North Sea oil hits record high. So WHY won't Red Ed drop his Net Zero madness and back new drilling to give Britain a boost? The US took out Iranian leaders and facilities with surgical precision - but the Islamic Republic is winning the propaganda war... with comedy Lego videos, writes DAVID PATRIKARAKOS Two teens die after car plunges from bridge and crashes into minibus on motorway - as families spend hours trapped in traffic following road closure Parish church magazine forced to apologise after poet offended woke readers with verses on illegal migrants, benefit scroungers and fat people Rachel Reeves is warned fuel tax raid will push thousands of businesses 'to the brink', ramp up food costs for households and stoke inflation Trump says Melania 'had a right' to talk about Epstein but admits he might have handled surprise statement differently Nancy Pelosi calls for married wannabe Newsom successor to abandon crumbling campaign over sexual assault claims
Trump already has good reason to declare victory in the G...
2026-04-24 · via News | Mail Online

By ERBIL GUNASTI

Published: | Updated:

Amid the on-off, stop-start torture of the US-Iran negotiations, the disastrous closure of the world's premier shipping route for oil and fertiliser, and the threat of widening conflict across the region, there is one piece of good news.

The American mid-term elections will take place in November, and with his poll ratings continuing to drop, President Trump will be obliged to bring the conflict to a halt at some point, perhaps sooner rather than later.

Right now, with the US and Iran locked in standoff, the president declares he's in no 'rush' to end the war. 

Maybe. But he needs the price of oil and the cost of living to ease before he goes to the polls. US voters don't like paying $4 a gallon for fuel and show growing signs of resenting the billions spent blowing up Iranian infrastructure.

The closure of the Strait of Hormuz is a disaster for world trade

President Trump says he's in no rush to end the conflict. But his poll ratings are sliding

Taxi drivers and bankers alike will breathe a sigh of relief. But will the 47th president?

Sure, he will declare victory, perhaps after another bout of bombing. There might even be a deal - or the appearance of one - to wave at the American public.

But if he folds his tent and simply walks away, Trump will leave behind a Strait of Hormuz which remains blocked to world trade; a vicious Iranian regime more deeply entrenched than ever; and quantities of enriched uranium - the key component for making a bomb - which the US had explicitly vowed to seize.

Can this be categorized as any sort of victory?

Well, surprising as it might seem, the answer could be yes.

First, the dust has yet to settle on the true scale of the damage inflicted on Iran, which is likely to be a good deal greater than understood so far. It is a mistake to simply accept the Iranian Revolutionary Guard Corps' assessment of the situation and to claim that, simply by surviving, the Mullahs have won.

If nothing else, Trump will be able to say that he has answered Israel's call for help against a regime bent on wiping it out; that he has severely degraded Iran's military capabilities; that he has smashed a key ally of China; and that he has destroyed Tehran's nuclear program or, at least, delayed it for years if not decades.

Ships and small boats ply the Strait of Hormuz off the coast of Oman

An Iranian propaganda picture supposedly showing soldiers seizing a container ship

A woman member of the Basij paramilitary, affiliated with Iran's Revolutionary Guard, holds her gun during a state-organized rally in support of the supreme leader

Moreover, the interruption to oil supplies from the Persian Gulf will benefit American producers, who are net exporters and who, in the case of the frackers, need high world prices to turn a profit.

There is also some context to this: America is starting to lose interest in the Gulf and, in my view, will either withdraw in the next few years or come close to it. If the US no longer has to station the Bahrain-based 5th Fleet in the region, the economic benefit will be considerable.

As the for the US economy, my view is that it will start to ramp up when all this is over, bringing relative prosperity to Trump's final two years.

These are all messages Trump's midwestern voters will welcome. 

But if, as many believe, Gulf-induced inflation takes some time to clear, a 'victory' cannot come soon enough for the GOP.

Time is of the essence. The president says he has plenty to work with: let's see.