Chase DeLauter can tap into his above-average power to hit a home run tonight.
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The MLB best home run bets have been on a heater, with three correct home run props and a no bet in the last four pieces and eight selections. The season’s record for home run bets is 6-18, with two no bets for players who didn’t start.
More important than the record, the home run props have been profitable. Readers and gamblers who’ve bet $100 on each of the MLB best home run bets at the suggested odds are up $870 for the year.
Maintaining momentum with another correct pick or two today would be helpful to fend off an inevitable cold streak from eating into all of the season’s profits. Two home run bets stand out as the most appealing on tonight’s vast MLB slate because of the combination of the betting odds and the likelihood of the players hitting home runs. Despite all 30 MLB teams playing today, for the first time all year, both best home run bets are teammates.
Over 0.5 Home Runs (+490) at FanDuel Sportsbook
Chase DeLauter has hit five home runs in 29 games and 116 plate appearances in his rookie season. FanGraphs awarded his game power 50 current and 60 future grades on the 20-to-80 scouting scale, and they tabbed his raw power 60 current and 60 future on their 2026 preseason scouting report.
DeLauter dealt with injuries in his minor-league career, but he showcased rock-solid homer pop. He hit seven home runs in 40 games and 176 plate appearances at the Triple-A level, which is a pace of approximately 24 home runs per 600 plate appearances. That’s not a jaw-dropping pace, but it’s evidence of above-average power.
The 24-year-old left-handed-hitting outfielder’s batted-ball data is also encouraging in his rookie campaign. Among 269 qualified hitters in 2026, DeLauter is tied for 89th in barrels per plate appearance rate (6.9%), 126th in barrels per batted-ball event rate (9.0%), tied for 153rd in fly-ball and line-drive exit velocity (92.9 mph), tied for 82nd in maximum exit velocity (111.2 mph) and 46th in launch-angle sweet-spot rate (39.3%). It’s not Earth-shattering batted-ball data, but DeLauter’s batted-ball quality is above average.
He also does a good job of putting the ball in the air. On 89 batted-ball events, DeLauter has a 16.5-degree launch angle, 21.3% line-drive rate, 46.1% fly-ball rate, 12.2% home run per fly-ball rate (HR/FB) and 44.9% pull rate.
DeLauter’s fly-ball approach should play well for reaching the seats tonight against J.T. Ginn in a homer-friendly venue. Ginn has allowed four home runs at 1.44 home runs per nine innings (HR/9) in four starts and three relief appearances spanning 25 innings this year.
Since last season, Ginn has allowed 14 homers at 2.25 HR/9 in 56 innings at home. He’s also been a disaster against lefties. Ginn has permitted 13 homers at 2.28 HR/9, with a 27.1% HR/FB rate, to 240 left-handed batters since last season.
Ginn’s inability to keep the ball in the yard at Sutter Health Park shouldn’t be a surprise. Since last year, Sutter Health Park has been tied for the sixth-highest park factor (115) for home runs, and has been 114 for left-handed batters. DeLauter should make the most of the matchup and park factors to turn his fly-ball centric approach into a homer tonight.
Jose Ramirez's fly-ball profile should lead to a home run tonight.
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Over 0.5 Home Runs (+350) at FanDuel Sportsbook
Jose Ramirez has the same mouthwatering hitting conditions against Ginn at Sutter Health Park as DeLauter. Moreover, if the Athletics bring in a left-handed reliever, Ramirez will have a right-handed hitter park factor of 115 for home runs, and the switch-hitting third baseman will be unfazed since he’s an above-average hitter against lefties and righties.
Since 2024, Ramirez has slugged 51 home runs in 1,079 plate appearances against righties and smashed 24 homers in 414 plate appearances against lefties. Ramirez has popped six home runs in 32 games and 138 plate appearances this year, with a 22.4-degree launch angle, 18.2% line-drive rate, 54.5% fly-ball rate, 11.1% HR/FB rate and 43.4% pull rate.
The rest of Ramirez’s batted-ball profile is nifty, too. Among 269 qualified hitters this year, Ramirez is tied for 64th in barrels per plate appearance rate (8.0%), tied for 83rd in barrels per batted-ball event rate (11.1%), tied for 86th in hard-hit rate (44.9%), tied for 122nd in fly-ball and line-drive exit velocity (93.8 mph), tied for 92nd in maximum exit velocity (110.8 mph), tied for 111th in launch-angle sweet-spot rate (35.4%) and 16th in launch-angle steepness (22.3 degrees).
Ramirez hunts fly balls, and doing so against Ginn at a launching-pad ballpark is an ideal recipe for hitting a home run. Thus, Ramirez’s home run prop is one of the best MLB home run bets on tonight’s loaded MLB slate.
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