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We have a full night of baseball Tuesday, and as usual, there are some hitters who are in potentially advantageous positions.
Below, we’ll hone in on bets for three bats that could deliver some rewarding returns on investment.
(All odds best at time of publishing)
Arozarena appears to be putting together his best all-around season at the plate in years, even if his power numbers are somewhat depressed.
The veteran is now sporting a .293/.381/.447 slash line after a three-hit night Monday, and with 72 knocks through 67 games, he’s just shy of being halfway to last season’s 144-hit total that it took him 160 games to achieve.
Arozarena draws a particularly favorable starting pitcher matchup Tuesday, as struggling Orioles southpaw Trevor Rogers will be on the hill for the hosts. Per RotoWire, Arozarena has tagged Rogers for a .333 average with a pair of home runs over nine career encounters.
The Mariners’ slugger has a solid .741 OPS and .327 wOBA against left-handed pitching this season, and he boasts an elite .356 average and .422 wOBA on the road. Meanwhile, Rogers has surrendered a .304 average, .386 wOBA and 1.8 HR/9 to right-handed hitters at home according to Fangraphs, making him quite the target.
Arozarena has 110 total bases over 67 games, and he’s collected 25 extra-base hits along the way. He also has posted 20 multi-hit efforts, so a bet on him reaching two or more total bases is very much in play.
Crow-Armstrong got off to a slow start this season following last year’s breakout 31-homer, 95-RBI campaign, but the slugger is surging at the plate over the last couple of weeks.
The 24-year-old outfielder boasts a .392 average and 1.201 OPS with eight extra-base hits (three doubles, five home runs), nine RBI, three walks, two stolen bases and nine runs across the 57 plate appearances he’s logged over his last 12 games.
Crow-Armstrong now visits a venue that could well facilitate an extension of his torrid stretch, as Chicago begins a three-game series at Coors Field on Tuesday. The Rockies will trot out Tomoyuki Sugano to open the contest, and per Fangraphs, the right-hander has allowed a .300 average, .409 wOBA and nine extra-base hits (out of 15 total)to the 57 left-handed hitters he’s faced at home this season.
Half of Crow-Armstrong’s eight home runs off right-handed pitching have come on the road, and he has a .440 average, 1.401 OPS and .592 wOBA across his first 27 plate appearances of June.
Additionally, he owns a .328 average and .925 OPS with runners in scoring position, per Baseball Reference, and in a game where the Cubs are implied for seven runs, banking on the surging hitter to combine for at least two runs + RBI is a prudent bet to make.
Abrams was at it again Monday, knocking in the game-tying run with a single and then scoring what would turn out to be game-winning run as well in the top of the ninth. The talented outfielder posted a two-hit, two-RBI effort in Washington’s 4-3 win over the Giants, pushing his season slash line to a stellar .289/.382/.533.
Meanwhile, the Giants’ Adrian Houser has been scuffling in his first year with San Francisco, as he’ll enter Tuesday’s outing with a 2-5 record, 5.49 ERA, 1.58 WHIP and 1.5 HR/9 across 12 starts. Houser is also allowing a career-high 9.0% barrel rate, .281 xBA, .473 xSLG and 5.41 xERA per Baseball Savant, so his poor numbers check out as legitimate.
Houser is having most of his trouble with left-handed hitters, who’ve gotten to him for a .420 average, .497 wOBA, 2.50 WHIP and 1.6 HR/9 at home. Abrams has faced Houser six times in his career and has managed a couple of hits, including a double, and the Nationals outfielder also sports a .333 average with 11 extra-base hits, a .459 wOBA and 197 wRC+ against righties on the road.
Then, Giants relievers have allowed a .260 average and pitched to a 5.59 ERA against left-handed hitters at home since May 1, so Abrams’ outlook will remain bright even after Houser exits. Abrams is also averaging 2.5 hits + runs + RBI over his first 66 games, furthering the case for this prop.
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