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Aaron Rai Defies Odds, Outlasts Others to Win 2026 PGA Ch...
Jeff Hartman · 2026-05-18 · via Forbes - SportsMoney
2026 PGA Championship - Round Three

NEWTOWN, PENNSYLVANIA - MAY 16: Aaron Rai of England hits a tee shot on the 17th hole during the third round of the PGA Championship at Aronimink Golf Club on May 16, 2026 in Newtown, Pennsylvania. (Photo by Carl Recine/Getty Images)

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Maybe it’s the two golf gloves.

Maybe it’s the iron covers on his clubs.

Maybe it’s the different sponsors on his hat and shirt.

Either way, there is a good chance you know Aaron Rai for all the aforementioned reasons, and not for his play on the course over the past few seasons. Rai broke through with his first win of his career in 2024, winning the Wyndham Championship, but he has been having a great 2026 season which was recently capped off with his first major championship crown.

Rai won the 2026 PGA Championship at Aronimink Golf Club this past weekend, and his 3-shot victory over some of golf’s biggest names was his first true moment in the sun.

After the win, Rai got the opportunity to explain why he wears two golf gloves, which was a habit he started doing as a child during the cold winters in England. He also got to share how he came from a hard-working middle class family, and when his father bought him a new set of irons as a kid, he put iron covers on them to make them last. Despite having access to the finest technology and equipment the game has to offer, Rai continues to keep those traditions to remind him of where he came from, and to appreciate what he has.

Rai’s 2026 season saw him make eight out of 10 potential cuts, four Top 25s, a Par 3 winner at The Masters, and now a major championship. With the win, Rai pocketed roughly $3.6 million dollars, along with notching a victory over the likes of Justin Thomas, Rory McIlroy, Ludvig Aberg, and Jon Rahm, all who were threatening Rai down the stretch.

Is this just the beginning of Rai’s run of major titles? Or is this a one-and-done situation? Only time will tell, but let’s take a look at how we did in our picks from the 2026 PGA Championship.

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2026 PGA Championship Picks

Let’s start with a review of the odds to win the tournament heading into Thursday:

  • Scottie Scheffler (+385)
  • Rory McIlroy (+910)
  • Jon Rahm (+1400)
  • Cameron Young (+1650)
  • Bryson DeChambeau (+1850)
  • Xander Schauffele (+1950)

When it comes to picks for this major event, I like to start with my favorite and long shot picks for the tournament. The favorite pick is the pick I like the most for an outright winner. For the long shot winner, that is a golfer who has over +2000 odds to win. It is a long shot pick for a reason, and finding those can be like finding a needle in a haystack.

Favorite: Cameron Young (+1650) - MISS

Young entered the 2026 PGA Championship as one of the hottest golfers on the planet. He had won the Cadillac Championship two weeks before, and had been a lock to be a Top 10 finish if he wasn’t winning tournaments. Nonetheless, his T26 was a far cry from outright winner.

Long Shot: Tommy Fleetwood (+2700) - MISS

You keep thinking this is the tournament where Fleetwood could break through, yet he has never seemed so far away. Fleetwood’s play was disappointing, to say the least, as he missed the cut and didn’t make the weekend.

Top 5 Bets For PGA Championship 2026

  • Cameron Young (+305) - MISS

As stated above, Young was the best golfer in the world heading into the second major of the 2026 year, and while he didn’t fall off the face of the earth and miss the cut, his T26 finish was far from a Top 5.

  • Scottie Scheffler (-122) - MISS

I didn’t have Scheffler winning this tournament, and that proved to be a smart decision. Scheffler’s putter was a problem, and he missed several short putts on the weekend which could have propelled him into contention. Nonetheless, when the dust settled Scheffler finished T14, breaking his solo 2nd streak he had going dating back to the Masters.

Top 10 Picks For PGA Championship 2026 Odds

  • Ludvig Aberg (+190) - HIT

My lone correct pick was once again Ludvig Aberg hitting as a Top 10 finish. The Swedish youngster has proven he can contend, but can’t break through to win his first major just yet. Aberg made several key putts down the stretch Sunday to give him a T4 finish in the PGA Championship. Aberg has bounced back nicely after his collapse on Sunday at the Players Championship earlier this year.

  • Tommy Fleetwood (+210) - MISS

As I stated earlier, Fleetwood missing the cut was something I never saw coming. Fleetwood had played good golf leading up to the PGA Championship, but the set up and his game just didn’t mesh. This was a huge miss.

Top 20 Value Picks For PGA Championship 2026

  • Tyrell Hatton (+176) - MISS

I largely stayed away from LIV golfers in this event, and for the most part that was a good decision. While Jon Rahm and Cam Smith had good performances, I thought Hatton would be the player who would be able to at least make the cut and make a Top 20 performance. Unfortunately, he missed the cut and was a non-factor.

  • Brooks Koepka (+146) - MISS

Every tournament, even majors, I have a “gut pick” of the week. This pick is where there is just something I see about a player that just looks right. For me, it was Brooks Koepka finishing Top 20 in a major he’s already won. Koepka’s game still remains a roller coaster, and his T55 finish just proved he has a lot to improve upon before he is competing for major championships again.

Prop Bets, Parlays And Bonus Plays for PGA Championship

Top 30: Rickie Fowler (+136) - MISS

Double Chance: Scottie Scheffler or Cameron Young (+290) - MISS

Triple Chance: Rory McIlroy or Cameron Young or Scottie Scheffler (+185) - MISS

Top 20 Parlay: Scottie Scheffler, Cameron Young, Bryson DeChambeau (+290) - MISS

Margin of Victory: 1 shot (+220) - MISS

Tournament Review:

Outright Plays: 1/8

Bonus Plays: 0/5