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Trump Could Get $1.7 Billion Payday In IRS Case Over Leaked Tax Returns—Here’s Why
Alison Durke · 2026-05-16 · via Forbes - Business

Topline

President Donald Trump is reportedly poised to settle his lawsuit against the Internal Revenue Service over his leaked tax returns and secure a $1.7 billion fund for his political allies, potentially allowing him to use the court system to get a taxpayer-funded windfall even without a ruling in his favor for a lawsuit that could be invalid to begin with.

President Donald Trump speaks at Verst Logistics on March 11 in Hebron, Kentucky.

Getty Images

Key Facts

ABC and The New York Times report Trump and the IRS are preparing to settle Trump’s $10 billion lawsuit against the agency, first filed in January, in which Trump alleges the IRS failed to keep his tax returns confidential after a contractor disclosed details of his taxes to news outlets.

ABC reports the settlement would force the government to create a $1.7 billion fund to compensate people who claim to have been victims of the Biden administration’s purported “weaponization” of the Justice Department, including Jan. 6 rioters, while the Times reports any settlement could also involve the IRS dropping its ongoing audits of the president and his businesses.

News of the potential settlement comes as Judge Kathleen Mary Williams has been preparing to decide whether the litigation is even valid to begin with, given Trump is suing a federal agency he controls as president.

Lawsuits can’t be brought unless there are at least two “adverse” parties with opposing interests—given that otherwise, the parties could cooperate in the case and use litigation to benefit their interests—and Williams said it’s “unclear” whether Trump and the IRS are actually adverse parties who are eligible to be in litigation against each other.

Williams has asked Trump and the IRS to file briefs by May 20 on whether they’re sufficiently opposing parties and scheduled a hearing for May 27 on the issue, but the Times reports Trump is trying to settle the case before then—meaning even if the lawsuit is legally invalid, he could still benefit from it anyway by getting a settlement before the court can rule.

Trump’s legal team would not confirm the potential settlement to Forbes, saying Friday only that the IRS “wrongly allowed a rogue, politically-motivated employee” to leak Trump’s private tax information, and the president “continues to hold those who wrong America and Americans accountable.”

Would Trump’s Settlement With The Irs Be Allowed?

If Trump and the IRS settle the case themselves before Williams can determine whether it can move forward, legal experts cited by the Times said there’s not much the judge could do. She would likely not be able to block the settlement, even if she thought the lawsuit shouldn’t be allowed.

Chief Critic

The news of Trump’s potential IRS settlement has been widely criticized by Democrats and ethics experts. Donald K. Sherman, president of ethics watchdog CREW, told Forbes in an email Friday that any settlement “would be the most brazen act of self-dealing in the history of the presidency and violate the Constitution's Domestic Emoluments Clause,” which prohibits presidents and federal officials from using their position to get any financial benefit beyond their salary. “Last month, President Trump seemed to hit a hurdle when the court questioned whether he and the government he runs were adverse enough parties to allow his lawsuit to proceed,” Sherman said. “Rather than argue this indefensible point, Trump is scheming to circumvent the courts and the processes that protect taxpayer dollars from fraud and abuse.”

What To Watch For

Any settlement between Trump and the IRS is likely to come within days, given the upcoming deadlines in the matter of determining whether the lawsuit can move forward in court. It’s still unclear what the final terms of any settlement will be, and ABC notes even if the settlement involves forming a fund for Trump’s allies, that fund would likely separately get challenged in court. Trump would also drop other claims against the government—such as a reported request for $230 million in compensation for the Justice Department’s criminal cases against him—in exchange for the fund’s creation, per ABC.

Surprising Fact

Trump and the other plaintiffs in the case, including his sons and the Trump Organization, told the court they were considering settling the case even before the IRS could even respond to the lawsuit. In an April court filing, plaintiffs asked the court to pause proceedings for 90 days while they tried to resolve the case with the IRS themselves, writing, “The Parties are engaging in discussions and need time to work through how to ensure those discussions can take place productively to avoid protracted litigation.” That request is what prompted Williams to want to rule on whether the parties could even be in litigation to begin with. The judge suggested the speed with which settlement talks were taking place could be further evidence that the parties aren’t sufficiently opposed to each other, noting the plaintiffs told the court that discussions were taking place even before the IRS’ lawyers could register their participation in the case. An independent attorney, whom the court appointed to weigh in on whether the parties are sufficiently opposed, also acknowledged it was “unusual” for the extension of time request to have been filed before the IRS responded, and suggested Williams should ask the government what it’s doing “to ensure that settlement discussions are conducted at arm’s length and without risk of collusion.”

Key Background

The reported fund for Trump’s allies comes as the president has broadly sought “retribution” for legal action that he and his allies faced during the Biden administration. Trump has issued a number of pardons to people who argued they were unfairly punished by the Biden administration, some of whom have financial or business ties to the president. He also controversially pardoned some 1,500 Jan. 6 rioters who were prosecuted by the Biden administration, and whether those rioters should now get payouts has become a matter of debate. People prosecuted for the riot have asked courts to refund the fees they had to pay in restitution after being convicted—which were typically $500 for misdemeanors and $2,000 for felonies—though some have sought millions of dollars for their purportedly unfair prosecutions. Democrats in Congress have broadly opposed those payouts, introducing legislation that would bar the government from paying out money to Jan. 6 rioters. While that legislation could potentially thwart Trump’s planned $1.7 billion fund, the bills remain a longshot to pass as long as the GOP has congressional control.

Further Reading

Trump poised to drop IRS suit, launch $1.7B 'weaponization' fund for allies: Sources (ABC News)

Justice Dept. Officials Consider Settling Trump Suit Against I.R.S. (New York Times)