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Forbes - Business

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Mamdani’s Municipal Grocery Stores Risk Making NYC’s Affordability Problem Worse
James Broughel · 2026-04-16 · via Forbes - Business
Mayor Mamdani Holds Press Conference To Discuss City-Owned Grocery Store

New York City Mayor Zohran Mamdani attends a news conference where he announced the first of the city-run grocery stores: La Marqueta in East Harlem.

Getty Images

This week, New York City Mayor Zohran Mamdani took his signature grocery-store campaign promise from idea phase to site selection. After previewing the plan in his April 12 “100 days” address, he formally announced La Marqueta in East Harlem as the first identified location for New York City’s municipal grocery-store initiative. The administration says it wants five stores in total, one in each borough, with the first location opening in late 2027 and the La Marqueta store following in 2029.

That timing matters, because the latest reporting also clarifies something the campaign slogans obscured. These are not really “government-run grocery stores” in the literal sense of City Hall stocking shelves and buying cucumbers. Under the model announced this week, the city takes on the capital burden—buying the land and absorbing construction and rent costs — while a private operator, selected through a competitive procurement process, runs the store itself. The city will create a task force, issue procurement this summer, and require the operator to pass savings through to shoppers on a core basket of staples. In other words, even Mamdani’s own administration appears to understand that retail management expertise will have to come from the private sector.

The case for the initiative is not difficult to understand. New York food prices have risen sharply for years. State Comptroller Thomas DiNapoli’s office reported that food costs in the New York City metropolitan area rose 56.2% between 2012-13 and 2022-23, and that grocery, or “food at home,” costs rose 65.8% over that span. His office also found that more than 1.2 million city residents live in food-insecure households, and that several neighborhoods across the five boroughs—including parts of Harlem—have notably fewer supermarkets per capita. On those numbers alone, Mamdani is right that food affordability is a real policy problem, not a manufactured one.

Supporters therefore see a plausible public-policy rationale. East Harlem is not an arbitrary choice either. Mamdani pointed to the neighborhood’s economic profile, where roughly four in ten East Harlem households depend on public assistance or SNAP, and several thousand public housing residents live within walking distance of the site. The administration’s argument is that public ownership can strip out some fixed costs, stabilize prices on basic goods, and give lower-income households more predictability at the checkout counter. Some local residents told NY1 they would shop wherever staples are cheaper, and supporters inside city government have framed the plan as part affordability policy, part public-health intervention, and part labor standards project.

But sympathy for the problem should not substitute for realism about the business. Grocery retail is one of the hardest industries for policymakers to romanticize once they look at the numbers. According to the Food Industry Association, the average net profit margin for food retailers in 2024 was just 1.7%. That is razor-thin. A supermarket is not a software platform or a toll bridge. It is a high-volume, low-margin, logistics-heavy operation in which modest errors in procurement, spoilage, theft, labor scheduling, or distribution can wipe out earnings. Unless the city is bringing a genuine operational innovation to market, rather than just a subsidy, it is fair to ask why this is the industry New York wants to enter as an owner.

The details released this week should make skeptics more, not less, cautious. The administration is no longer promising universally cheaper groceries across the board. Instead, officials say there will be a discounted “core basket” of fresh and everyday goods, but they have not yet determined exactly how the discount will be calculated. Mamdani himself acknowledged that he could not yet provide a concrete item-by-item price example for shoppers. That is a striking admission for a plan whose political appeal rests almost entirely on price relief. Before the city pours tens of millions into a store, voters deserve more than a promise that bread and eggs will somehow be cheaper.

Then there is the budget. During the 2025 campaign, Mamdani described the five-store pilot as a roughly $60 million idea. The administration now says it has allocated $70 million in capital funding for the five sites, and the East Harlem flagship alone is expected to cost $30 million for a 9,000-square-foot store. Yes, the mayor says La Marqueta is a ground-up build that will use prevailing wages and require interagency coordination. But that still looks like budget creep before a single register has opened. It may be innocent municipal overdesign. It may be ordinary government waste. It may reflect the patronage culture that too often shadows city construction. Whatever the explanation, cost discipline is not exactly leaping off the page.

And here is the larger contradiction in the Mamdani model. If private-sector expertise is necessary to operate the stores, then why is the city trying to occupy the managerial middle ground at all? Better to bid out both construction and operations under a strict performance contract and let the city play a passive investment role. Public capital, private management, clear benchmarks. That approach would at least align risk with competence. The recent Kansas City experience points in that direction. A publicly backed grocery in a city-owned shopping center, KC Sun Fresh, lost $885,000 in a year, saw traffic collapse, and struggled with bare shelves and safety problems. Kansas City has since moved to select a privately operated replacement affiliated with Associated Wholesale Grocers. That is a useful cautionary tale.

There is a broader economic lesson here. When governments succeed in the business realm, they often do better as investors than as managers. A recent CSIS analysis of the Trump administration’s use of federal equity stakes argues that government investment can provide capital and liquidity, lower risk, and attract private investors. That model is not foolproof, and it carries its own dangers related to politicization and cronyism. But it is at least closer to what government tends to do tolerably well, which is absorb risk, supply capital, and set rules. Deciding what markup should apply to bananas in East Harlem is much harder to defend.

Most importantly, grocery policy may not be where City Hall can deliver the biggest affordability gains. Nationally, housing accounts for 33.4% of household spending, versus 12.9% for food, with food at home averaging $6,224 annually. In New York City, the housing emergency is especially severe. The 2023 Housing and Vacancy Survey put the net rental vacancy rate at just 1.41%, and low-income renters remained heavily rent-burdened. Child care is another huge pressure point. The New York City comptroller's office found that families relying on private child care in 2024 faced annual bills starting around $17,000 for home-based care and reaching $26,000 for center-based programs.

To be fair, Mamdani has also made child care and housing central to his affordability agenda. His administration has launched a new permitting portal aimed at making it easier to open child care centers, rolled out a citywide child care search tool, and advanced a fast-track process to speed housing development on city-owned land. Those are productive steps, to be sure. However, if the goal is to make life more affordable for the broadest number of New Yorkers, easing barriers to housing supply and reducing the regulatory burdens that inflate child-care costs would likely go further than trying to make government a grocer.

Mamdani deserves credit for doing more than talk. In a matter of days, he has turned an applause-line campaign promise into a site announcement, a funding plan, and an implementation process. But the same recent coverage that shows movement also exposes the weaknesses of the idea. The city is promising lower prices only on selected staples, leaning on private operators to execute the concept, and spending real money in a notoriously unforgiving business with tiny margins and little room for managerial error. New Yorkers need relief, but from a government disciplined enough to know when to finance and when to step aside, not one playing grocer-in-chief.