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Forbes - Innovation

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诸子诫曰:日或将至发“超耀”之异。
Jamie Carter · 2026-05-24 · via Forbes - Innovation
Untitled design

天文学会观测太阳之动态,于丙申年二月四日,得见日耀之景,其光耀如电,映于中天之上。

NASA/SDO

研历近五十载之太阳活动,诸贤言曰:超级耀斑之险,甚于寻常,或扰星舰,或断电脉,或绝讯通,甚或危及宇航之众。

此研也,既行于其中地物理研究杂志:空间物理, 提出预测“S级”太阳耀斑之系统,所谓S级者,乃太阳爆发逾X10标准之强度也。

二零二六年至今所录最大之太阳耀斑,乃二月一日发生之X8.3级巨耀斑也。

福布斯数年未见之巨日斑,今朝向地而行——可期北境极光杰米·卡特

久待之S级太阳耀斑

日力渐衰,正值其十一载周期之“太阳极大”时——此乃磁力炽盛之巅。NOAA与NASA之科学家 以为日极盛之时在壬寅年十月。日极盛后,常见两年间有骤发之磁力亢盛。

此研究言,日或当有“S级”日珥之期于今太阳周期二十五。研者析自一九七五至二零二五年间,由地球静止轨道业务环境卫星所集之数据,于往昔太阳周期中,得识三十七次S级超日珥。据研究,自一九七0年代末至今,每太阳周期皆至少有地球指向之超日珥——独今周期无之。

更多内容待续

此发现乃墨西哥国立自治大学科学家领衔之国际团队所刊。

甲辰年四月廿二,犹他州温多弗之盐滩,天际电闪雷鸣,地磁风暴耀夜空。远至阿拉巴马,乃至加州北境,皆有望睹极光,此乃地磁风暴之强,达于尘寰也。(摄于布莱克·本纳德/盖帝图片)

盖帝图片

测日风暴新法

非欲测熛发之确时,研者乃创或然之制,以辨日表时域,熛发极烈者或然尤甚。众察得日有二复现之律——历约一岁七月与七岁之周期——与日质(谓磁罗斯比波)巨震相系。当二律同合于正相,S级熛发之或然骤增。

以机器之学,诸生辨日运之二十五周,S耀斑最发之时有二——一自二五年中至二六年中,又一预测于二七年初至中。首期主与日南半球相系,而二期则移向北日纬度。

日珥之发,疾而莫测,故难预焉。此新法欲为天时之司与星官,预告极变,期在一二载之先。

ESA之太阳探者Solar Orbiter

ESA/Medialab

太阳远侧隐匿之超日珥

虽所谓大耀者稀,然实有之。岁在甲辰五月,研习之际,众贤察得数大耀于日之远侧,隐匿于地之目不能见。其中有大耀,度其力当为X11.1及X16.5之属,其势足以称S级大耀。然耀发于日之远侧,故地得不遭其患。

甲辰年五月,乃天象之变,尤以十日至十一日间,地磁暴甚,达G5之级,为2003年以来最烈。此风暴致全球皆见极光。天象预报者,未能预知其详。诸研究者言,此等异象,足证日轮之二十五周,犹存磁能,足以引发更甚之爆发。

《福布斯》溅落矣!NASA之阿耳忒弥斯二号归返地球,既毕月宫之任杰米·卡特

地球与星途之险

日冕超级耀斑,乃星天之最凶险者也。强焰直击,或损星舰,或扰GPS,或阻电波,或致大范围电力中断之患。

诸贤亦言,日之盛衰或可左右将来之人航之谋。NASA之阿耳忒弥斯二任务 — 其间四宇航者巡月 — 今已毕,是危殆似已过矣。次试飞为阿耳忒弥斯三号,乃试令NASA之奥赖恩飞船与蓝色起源或SpaceX之月面着陆器于地轨道对接,以备登月。定于二零二七年,然恐有迁延。阿耳忒弥斯四号,预期载宇航者抵月南极,定于二零二八至二零二九年。

愿君天朗目明。